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  1. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    Got it. Sounds a bit similar to volume profile, which I've been poking at (along with market profile.)
  2. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    Oh, cool! There's actually a steam engine show around here that we go to once a year - lots of old steam machinery plus really old (but often working) farm equipment. The men who participate in it, especially the guys who maintain and build the equipment, are an interesting bunch... they remind...
  3. BlueWaterSailor

    Manual strategy testing

    So you don't have even a single shred of evidence for the "proven strategy" snake oil you're selling, and must resort to personal accusations to hide it. Got it. Really? Shocking. Hold on, let me write that down... Your Nobel Prize for this amazing discovery will surely be announced soon...
  4. BlueWaterSailor

    The regularity of the price model in combination of time - volatility

    I suppose I expect people who make financial predictions - and ask for professional opinions about them - to be... y'know, accurate. Or at least make a serious attempt at it. It may be that I find the thought of people losing money with the only reason being "I misplaced that decimal...
  5. BlueWaterSailor

    The regularity of the price model in combination of time - volatility

    Anything that relies on technical analysis and thus technical accuracy, and misspells "фрактал" as "фракал" ("fractal" as "fracal") four times in a row - as well as abusing poor Wacław Franciszek, whose eponymous triangles are being bandied about here, by skipping a letter and a diacritical from...
  6. BlueWaterSailor

    The billion-dollar high-speed internet scam

    When I sign a business contract with a vendor, neither of us is scamming the other; we've both agreed to the deal because we see it as beneficial. Option contracts are not any different - and if you believe they are, then you are indeed being scammed. Except the conman is right there in the room...
  7. BlueWaterSailor

    Manual strategy testing

    Please name one that has not been arbed out of existence, or has a positive return expectancy for any other reason. Proof that newbies must have enough knowledge to interpret. Martingale and TA are trivially-easy to sell to newbies - witness the profusion of "trading schools" out there vs. the...
  8. BlueWaterSailor

    What are(were) your most common mistakes in Trading?

    You're conflating unrelated things here. Granted, the sim environment will help you learn the skills for operating a given platform. But if this is a serious challenge to someone, then perhaps trading is not the field they should be in. Successful trading, though - which you include as soon as...
  9. BlueWaterSailor

    What are(were) your most common mistakes in Trading?

    If you have the strength of mind and will necessary to treat sim losses with exactly the same seriousness and discipline as you would real ones, then you won't need the simulator anyway (except for maybe learning the quirks of a new platform.) It probably wouldn't take more than forty or fifty...
  10. BlueWaterSailor

    Manual strategy testing

    The fatal flaw in that reasoning is the inherent recursion in it. How and where does someone acquire the judgement to decide whether a strategy is "proven" without being an expert trader in advance? Lather, rinse, repeat...
  11. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    Hmmm. So... what was your thesis? That's the interesting part. :)
  12. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    $296.70 SPY 191111P285 -$2.13 $92 $123.27 ROKU 191115C145 / 191115C235 5.40 $36.98 GDXJ 191115P36 $1.10 Whew, the market finally turned over and came to life. SPY, which has been red during pretty much the entire trade, went "ORDER FILLED" on my 30% RR breakpoint almost immediately after the...
  13. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    Yep, that's exactly the plan. Except I'm still overwhelmed by options alone... I shouldn't say that; "overwhelmed" was two months ago. Now, it's more like Wheezooo said: I've got a full plate. Gotta be careful carrying it so the surströmming doesn't fall off the one side, the bahn xeo off the...
  14. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    "Character-building", they call it. :) I'm getting enough of that to start a toupee business - as long as no one finds out where on my body the stuff came from. I've been wanting to jump into futures, but a) I'm still too raw on even the basics for that to be smart on anything but sim, and b)...
  15. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    Ai-ai-ai. I've been bad again. Badly-timed home stuff and a (fortunately minor/phone resolvable) emergency call at the wrong time, and here I am - behind on my log. Darn it, this is important. Catching up: 10/9/2019 $113.84 ROKU 191115C135/205 $5.15 Sold the 135/205 call - moving my hedge up...
  16. BlueWaterSailor

    How bad is early assignment?

    As my old man might have said, a sheynem dank, tsu gezunt. I'm sorry you're having a rough time. :( Ah-HAH! [doing a little happy dance] Life makes sense again... Beautiful. ALL of this works once you plug these two pieces in. Sure. But now I also understand why you're looking at...
  17. BlueWaterSailor

    How bad is early assignment?

    Fairly sleep-depraved myself, so - appreciate the extra effort. Please feel free to jump out of the convo at any point if reciting the ABCs gets to be too much. I guess you're talking value at expiry, so no extrinsic. Then I don't get how you're using "100 times w/3 weeks" for the calls, unless...
  18. BlueWaterSailor

    How bad is early assignment?

    [laugh] Gladly, and with a will. It'll be something to tell the grandkids some day. "There I was, swinging at a Rivera fastball... no, seriously, I have pictures!" Whiffing it still puts me in a rather exclusive club, but not stepping up to the plate would make me a 100x bigger fool than trying...
  19. BlueWaterSailor

    How bad is early assignment?

    I've never run across anyone telling me anything of this sort, but it sounds pretty cool - so I'm going to try unpacking it (mostly for myself, but anyone else is welcome to hum along if they know the tune.) @Wheezooo , please feel free to let me know if I've missed what you mean; I'm not too...
  20. BlueWaterSailor

    Question about Yahoo vs Google Closing Price

    I've seen then quote penny stock at insane prices, like tens of thousands per share ($22k+ for the last one I saw, as I recall.) Also, crazy random numbers in the company financials. Not saying they're totally useless, but not exactly "top notch".
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