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  1. BlueWaterSailor

    Good song

  2. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    No, wait... I've got it!
  3. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    Cue "big pianist" joke... :\ My niece, who is a classical pianist, had a pic of his hands on her wall. It looked like a damn octopus. Just alien.
  4. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    Flashback time! I drove an ice cream truck in Brooklyn for about three weeks while waiting for my hack license to come through. The neighborhood was so bad ("how bad was it?") that I had tiny little kids threatening to shoot me if I didn't give them a cone. Not even kidding. Hah. I'd probably...
  5. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    It's good geeky fun, for them as likes it. :)
  6. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    So you're talking about implied volatility. OK. "We traders" don't "perceive" implied volatility, and there's no detection involved; it's a number that's produced by a model. One that is designed to be as accurate as possible, because no one would benefit from it being otherwise. And IV is not...
  7. BlueWaterSailor

    National Investment Analysis.

    I've studied microeconomics. That's part of where my view of macroeconomists comes from. :)
  8. BlueWaterSailor

    What would you do ?

    Go ahead and feel free to define, say, the character of the Dalai Lama. After all, he's opposed to the current government of his native land... does this mean he's a liar and a cheat? I'd be perfectly happy to give you lots of other examples if you don't like that one.
  9. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    What's a "perceived IV", and how does it lie? Unless it's some guy with a weird name, I'm not sure how anything without agency - like a number - can perform an act of will such as lying. Totally in the dark here...
  10. BlueWaterSailor

    What would you do ?

    While I agree with the rest of what you've written, how you deal with a bureaucracy is not exactly relevant to how you relate to your friends. I seriously doubt that you're in the habit of trusting the IRS, the FBI, and your local cops with your deepest secrets, so this comes across as being...
  11. BlueWaterSailor

    National Investment Analysis.

    Er... um... unwarranted assumption. :) I don't have anything in particular against individuals here, but macro-economists in general are not known for producing anything useful. NN Taleb has quite a bit to say about them, and his conclusions are a bit difficult to argue against...
  12. BlueWaterSailor

    What happened at 11:59 today?

    Dude, you're forgetting about your friends. If there's value in that kind of thing for you, you and I need to talk. Nah, system latencies would swallow up any advantage you got from that. The trick would be having the fastest ETL (extract/transform/load) and, to a lesser degree, fastest...
  13. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    Thanks, @.sigma! I started with a fancy(ish) chart based on a 45-day hold, with nicely-defined daily percentages - but then I realized that almost all of my trades went flying out the door at 10%, which didn't do much for my returns. I've also done pretty well at zeroing in on my preferred...
  14. BlueWaterSailor

    Traders Expo live

    James Altucher! There's a guy worth hearing; he's been through a whole lot of life lessons, and has a rather interesting take on the whole business of living - and investing. Do be prepared to have your assumptions turned inside out at a rapid pace, though. :) Last I heard, James had closed up...
  15. BlueWaterSailor

    What happened at 11:59 today?

    Automated sentiment analysis. I used to teach a segment on this stuff in my data analytics class. Not particularly complex, although you'd want to have a pretty high confidence level, preferably from multiple feeds, before putting a couple of hundred mil on it. :)
  16. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    $119.60 WMT 191115P115 -$0.75 $80.00 Taking off this trade in the IRA for ~53% profit $118.89 ROKU 191115P120 -> 191122P120 $1.32 Dropped like a rock-u after earnings, despite beating all numbers. [shrug] So it goes. Rolling out another week, total is now -0.47+1.32=0.85 or 120-0.85=119.15 as...
  17. BlueWaterSailor

    Which SPY options strategy to 3x return in a month

    These aren't "ideas". This is purely theoretical "let's see if this is possible regardless of completely insane risk" fluff, and anybody who actually implements it really does belong in r/wallstreetbets. But here's an "option" for you: offer that deal here. You'll place whatever amount you're...
  18. BlueWaterSailor

    Which SPY options strategy to 3x return in a month

    There's always the option of betting your capital at 3:1 odds on Russian roulette. You'll get your wish if you win, and you'll never know if you lose... Switching from the slightly macabre to only slightly less gruesome - e.g., buying puts and fervently praying for another flash crash - SPY is...
  19. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    $140.87 ROKU 191115C150 / C145 -$2.00 -$47.00 Closing the call-side vertical of the Jade Lizard, total is now 1.53-2.00=-0.47; now I only have the -put left (~16D). Given that earnings are coming up, and that ROKU behaves like a bee-stung pig - squealing and snorting and kicking up mud - even...
  20. BlueWaterSailor

    Is Oliver Velez A Legend?

    I thought "James Bond" was rather obvious, but I guess not...
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