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My properties are in Hollywood Beach, FL. As I said, I am extremely conservative and probably looked at and made offers on 100 properties to get these three. But that's okay by me. As I said, if it works for you, go for it. I prefer to be extremely conservative, which in this economic...

Question--how long have you been a rental property owner? IME, the 2% formula as I said is a conservative formula, but it is conservative for a reason. I've seen the majority of landlords get burned out or sell out because they were too optimistic with their numbers, or didn't fully account...

As a property investor, I use this basic rule of thumb for rental properties: Purchase price * 2% = monthly rent required It's a conservative formula, but IME it is the safest one to go with, especially when you factor in vacancy, repairs and upkeep, and possible further reductions in...

This is true, unfortunately the government and Fed have shown clearly that they have no regard for "future" consequences, only the "here and now". If there's anything we can count on from them, it's overcorrection.

I think it's important to point out the difference between deflation and disinflation. Given that deflation is a decrease in the money supply, no we haven't had that. And once the banks that have been given these gobs of cash actually start letting it loose, look out. What we have had is...

Both of the above answers are correct, but which one is better depends upon your timeframe and risk tolerance. If you're looking for a short term trade (less than a month), and you have a high risk tolerance and wish to use leverage, go with the futures (ZB). If you have a longer timeframe...

Making investment predictions based on such unfounded speculation as what Middle Eastern countries might or might not be doing isn't a very smart way to go. Taking into account what we do know, which is that the Fed is throwing the kitchen sink at reflation, and the incoming Obama...

My understanding is that the 6% quoted on CBOT is not the coupon being used to calculate the actual real world current yield: http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates/index.html

You'll have to work backward a little bit, but go here: http://www.investopedia.com/calculator/AOYTM.aspx Plug in $100,000 for Par value, 4.5% for the annual rate and 30 year maturity. Then just keep plugging in different values for market value. Just FYI, ZB at 156 would be 2%, and...

Also beware that leveraged ETN's such as DXO do not have the same fiduciary safety that ETF's have. So if Barclays bank goes belly up much like Lehman did, you could see your position in DXO get wiped out as the ETN would likely become defunct. Personally I'd stick with ETF's such as USO...

Totally agreed. Picking the exact top or bottom is impossible, but for long term investors, the bargains to be had shorting bonds and long oil right now are no brainers.

There are plenty of ZB puts you could get into. Or if you want to play it in stock form, just short (or buy puts on) TLT, or buy TBT.

Well, from a contrarian point of view, when people start talking about ZB at 200 at this point, it's time to start scaling into a short position. Reminds me exactly of the oil trade, when it hit $140 and people started coming out asking when (not if) it would hit $200. Could be more upside...

Indeed. I have a feeling we're going to see $1200 before we see $600.

Ah, my mistake. I'm trading on a longer term time frame. Carry on. :D

I'd be careful. I don't think any dips from this point are buyable until probably next summer. But that's just my opinion.

If what we've been witness to the past month in bonds is what you consider "boring", then I'd sure like to see what your idea of excitement is. Also, turn your caps lock off.

You mean like the PPT wouldn't let stocks fall too far? The size of the bond market is such that if enough people start running for the exits even the Fed won't be able to prop up the price. And from the looks of it, the long side of the bond trade has gotten pretty crowded near the top...

I agree with Ricerocket that we're due for a powerful bear market rally. Right now, bearish sentiment and pessimism is almost unanimous in all corners, which is a strong contrarian indicator. Usually when everyone is convinced the market is destined to go one way, that's when a turnaround in...