Right now the market is just getting push around because of the illiquid markets.
I think it will take until mid sep to see where we are really going....
The story that is really concerning me is the global slow down that seems to be happening very quickly. That could be what drives us...
This PA is a lot like last week, ES hanging around the 65 area as NQ weakens...
ES should be below 60 but yet again holding on....
Long NQ 82 stop 58
tp1925.
Lets see if history repeats
ES wants an excuse to go up......1 of 2 things needs to happen
this afternoon. Oil need to close lower at the 2:30 close or/and
nq needs to rally. Either one we head above 1280....
Both happen and we could have a very strong close.....
ES not reacting to 6 oil increase is an indicator. It tells me there is a very good chance es will head up later, like I said in my other
post NQ is what is holding es back. NQ is being sold like there is some sort of liquidation of a position going on.
Someday you watch oil to get an es signal, today watch nq, when that one is allow to go then es will try for 80...
If they can get nq into the 1880`s then I agree that may pull es into the 50`s. IMHO es is in a holding pattern waiting for nq....
This is a hard market to get a feel for today. Yesterdays trendline break is now resistance....
Before I take a stupid trade I am going outside, maybe things will be clearer later...
The point is, by playing your full position all the time (no diversification), the % will get you eventually and take you down with an expected event.
Now most of the time it does not matter if you are not all in, but it does when you are.