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Assuming each strategy has the same expected value per trade AND the same number of trades per time period, I would pick the one with the highest winning percentage, as the Kelly Criterion allowable bet size would be higher. The Kelly formula favors higher win % strategies, because these...

What are the key differences between this platform and TT's web platform? (Not the TT Pro version, the $50/month version).

Yes, call them. They are very good at finding solutions to complex reporting problems. They might even do a custom spreadsheet for you.

High end real estate in Manhattan is used to launder money from rich people overseas, so there is a lot of hidden demand.

You need to have a view on the volatility of the underlying. If you think that future volatility of the underlying will be lower than the current implied volatility embedded in current options prices. , then you sell the (theoretically overpriced) option (ES/SPX/SPY) and hedge it by buying an...

Bulkowski's Patternz is free, although a little clunky to use. http://thepatternsite.com/PatternzNew.html

Here is a quick FINVIZ screen. https://www.finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=111&f=ind_wastemanagement&o=-marketcap Buying a basket of WM/RSG/WCN pretty much covers the industry if you want to keep it simple. There might be some interesting smaller niche companies further down the list though.

On the surface, this seems like a simple question, but the underlying calculations for how bond futures behave are pretty complex, and there is an entire cottage industry in the trading community called "basis trading," which attempts to exploit differences between the futures and cash bonds...

Portfolio Visualizer has a "backtest portfolio" function. The only issue is that you need to be net 100% long or net %0 long. You make the long stock +100% allocation and the short stock -100%.

If you trade options, then "Volatility Trading" by Euan Sinclair is pretty good.

Also this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lottery_bond

The funny thing is, that there is an entire sub-industry built out of doing this very thing, although not to the extremes the OP suggests. Fixed Indexed Annuities have a similar payment pattern: limited risk (usually guaranteed by the insurance company) combined with a CHANCE (not a guarantee)...

Warren Buffett is effective because of two things a) accumulated experience and b) a superhuman memory and math ability. A person close to him (whose name I forget) says that "[Buffett] does discounted cash flow models in his head." He also has a near photographic memory, and can look at a...

I'm not making a forecast. I was answering a specific question about how GDP is measured, and noted how much it has grown since 2009 (because that is what the chart showed)

GDP growth is almost always presented in real terms. It has grown 2-3% per year after inflation since the end of the financial crisis.

Here is a great article by Morgan Housel that explains a lot. Key excerpt: https://www.collaborativefund.com/blog/the-freakishly-strong-base/

There is a good podcast with the founder on Chat With Traders. They are pretty sophisticated. https://chatwithtraders.com/ep-156-michael-katz/

Based on my experience with Fidelity, it's still just $5. What the broker does to execute it is up to them.

HMC could be interesting. Strong brand, profitable, etc. The possible issue with Honda is the trend away from cars to trucks and crossovers. Low P/B is a well-researched "anomaly," which has beaten the market over a long period of time. However, it has underperformed for the last 10 years...

Book value can be fictional. CenturyLink has grown by acquisition, and therefore has a lot of "goodwill" on its balance sheet, which is the result of buying companies above book value. There is no guarantee that they could sell that subsidiary for what they paid for it. The better measure for...