Search results

The model will tell whether to change positions at the end of each day.

Monday, April 20 YM dropped 2.8%, NQ drop 1.3%. Net gain 2x(-1.3%-(-2.8%))=3%. Very safe profit.

1. Yes you will get the margin offset. 2. I open both legs at the same time. 3. Micros give much more flexibility in managing exposure, and ratio control as well

In the last four week, I have showed the asset allocation strategy: https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/journals-of-conservative-investing.342056/ Performance as below: First week: 14.75% Second week: 5.33% Third week: -13.21% Fourth week: 20.48% 4-week compound return: 26.4% In this...

Friday, April 17: QQQ down 0.78% (it popped yesterday after market close) SPY up 0.35% IWM down 0.4% Portfolio return: -0.37% This is the last update of this thread. We will start a new thread with future spread trading.

Thursday, April 16 It turns out only TQQQ is very bullish, up 9%. TNA is up 6%, so the whole portfolio is only up 7.5%. Positions for Friday, April 17: Still bullish on equities. 50% in QQQ, 30% in SPY, 20% in IWM. We will start to show case the future spread trading next week (by the end...

Wednesday, April 15: Once again, hedge NASDAQ 100 with Russell 2000 is not a good idea. We should use Dow Jones instead. SQQQ up 3.33%, TNA down 12.2%, TLT up 2.65%, the portfolio is down 1.24%. Positions for Thursday, April 16: 50% in TQQQ, 50% in TNA. Very bullish on equities.

Down 2%+ today as expected.

So how will the market go if it follows the path: April 13: S&P 500 should fall about 1%. IT DID down 1.01%! April 14: S&P 500 should go up about 2.6%. IT WAS UP 3%! April 15: S&P 500 will go down slightly (about 0.5%) April 16: S&P 500 will go up about 1% April 17-April 27: The S&P 500 will...

Tuesday, April 14: Market surged today. Our model predicted a low volatility environment today so go all in equities with 3x leveraged ETFs. TQQQ UP 13%, UDOW UP 7.1%, bringing to second gain of the week: 10.05%! Positions for Wednesday, April 15: 20% SQQQ, 20% TNA, 20% TLT Market is likely...

Monday, April 13: TQQQ up 3.5%, the portfolio is also up 3.5%. Good start. Positions for Tuesday, April 14: 50% in TQQQ, 50% in UDOW. Very bullish on equities.

The correlation so far is 94%! If it really follows the path, the S&P 500 Index will climb to about 3000 at the end of June, and fall to 1500 in April next year. A 50% crash!

Bad lucks this week. Positions for Next Monday, April 13: 100% in TQQQ. Wednesday's return:-6.3% Thursday's return: -5.3%

Tuesday, April 7: S&P 500 Index was up as high as 3.4% but closed down 0.16%. TQQQ was down 1.77%, SDOW flat, TZA up 0.36%, TMF down 3.32%. The portfolio was down 1.4% today. Positions for Wednesday, April 8: 20% in TQQQ, 30% in TZA, 30% in SDOW, 20% in TMF

Monday, April 6: TQQQ up 20.9%, TZA down 22.7%, SDOW down 22.1%, TMF down 0.8% The portfolio was down 0.76% today. Positions for Tuesday, April 7: 30% in TQQQ, 20% in TZA, 20% in SDOW, 30% in TMF

Positions for next Monday, April 6: 40% in TQQQ, 20% in TZA, 20% in SDOW, 20% in TMF neutral in equities (long NASDAQ, short Dow Jones and Russell 2000), and long bonds. The portfolio will be more conservative in the next two weeks.

Second week performance: Monday: 10.5% Tuesday: -1.25% Wednesday: -8.45% Thursday: 5.08% Friday: 0.34% Weekly cumulative return: 5.33%, significantly outperformed the broad market.:thumbsup: Some index performance this week: NASDAQ 100: -0.79% S&P 500: -2.07% Dow Jones: -2.7%

Friday, April 3 SDOW was closed earlier, up 3.7%. TQQQ was down 3.3%, and TMF up 0.9% The portfolio gained slightly 0.34%

Closed SDOW, up 3.7%. Leaving TQQQ and TMF.

Positions for Friday, April 3: 40% in TQQQ (Long NASDAQ 100), 40% in SDOW (shorting Dow Jones), and 20% in TMF (Long bonds). Portfolio will be more conservative from tomorrow.