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  1. Trader13

    Ernie Chan claims that statistical arbitrage is better than momentum like trend

    An illustrative example just for reference is SWN vs CNX (U.S. utility stocks) during 2009.
  2. Trader13

    Ernie Chan claims that statistical arbitrage is better than momentum like trend

    Generally, stat arb is a slower trade that ripens in days/weeks (when it works). HFT time frames usually involve pure arb.
  3. Trader13

    Ernie Chan claims that statistical arbitrage is better than momentum like trend

    The great difficulty in finding candidates for stat arb (aka, pair trading) is why it has fallen out of favor. Traders who have found a small number of good candidates for this style of trading will regard them as proprietary as they have likely invested a lot of research to find them. Chan...
  4. Trader13

    Ernie Chan claims that statistical arbitrage is better than momentum like trend

    Got it. I read your post too quickly and misunderstood what you meant to say.
  5. Trader13

    Ernie Chan claims that statistical arbitrage is better than momentum like trend

    Gloria, why do you say momentum trades have better risk control than stat arb? A well constructed stat arb trade (admittedly, challenging to find) is inherently hedged.
  6. Trader13

    How to short Japan?

    As you select a trading instrument for Japan's equity market, keep in mind the currency effect of USDJPY. You may want to hedge out the currency impact.
  7. Trader13

    Where would you invest if you think oil prices will go up in 1-2 years?

    You asked a similar question on ET about 7 years ago: http://www.elitetrader.com/et/index.php?threads/if-you-believe-oil-will-go-up-what-would-you-invest.127834/ I imagine you're asking again because there really isn't a good answer. The roll yield largely offsets price expectations on most...
  8. Trader13

    Tax Rate for Hedge Fund Managers

    Do US-based hedge fund managers pay ordinary income tax rates on the fees they earn, or do they pay the lower capital gain rates? Just curious as recent news paints them to be paying lower taxes than the rest of us.
  9. Trader13

    Software to Check Correlation between 100 ETF'S

    yes, indeed, thank you. as stated previously, the difference between correlation and cointegration is key for pair trading.
  10. Trader13

    Software to Check Correlation between 100 ETF'S

    Please describe how correlation is a part of regression analysis?
  11. Trader13

    SpreadProfessor Clients - Thanks !

    Speculating on the physical ... that requires a very high level of confidence in your price forecast. These commercial specs must be experts in their field and have balls of steel.
  12. Trader13

    SpreadProfessor Clients - Thanks !

    I was under the impression that these commercials hedge their physicals with futures. They even get more generous leverage than traders. Geez, if they're not hedging their physical operations, then they are as much speculators as any trader.
  13. Trader13

    Deseasonal Forward Curves

    The general case for time series (price series) decomposition includes components like trend, seasonality, and a random component. This is useful for historical analysis of price when you're trying to understand price movement in hindsight. But I don't see any practical value of this technique...
  14. Trader13

    Statistical Arbitrage trading/market neutral strategies

    A wealth of resources (e.g., academic papers, YouTube videos, blog articles) on this subject is easily found using any search engine. You might prompt a more engaged discussion if you narrowed down to a specific topic or contributed something not commonly available.
  15. Trader13

    Windows 10

    Thanks for calling attention to this. I am flabbergasted!
  16. Trader13

    The ACD Method

    It may be futile to attempt to explain an analysis technique that is largely discretionary. If you are fortunate to have the natural talent to use a technique that requires discretionary judgment or some special intuition you have developed with years of experience, you might not realize that...
  17. Trader13

    RSI vs MACD

    One strategy that combines both indicators is to use a longer-term MACD to define the trend and a short-term RSI to time pullbacks for trade entry. I would backtest this thoroughly before committing any money.
  18. Trader13

    Lending Club

    Are you using LendingRobot and/or Nickel Steamroller to select your loans, or are you selecting them manually?
  19. Trader13

    Lending Club

    I was considering investing a small amount in both LC and Prosper to compare them, but haven't gotten around to it yet. I thought Prosper was a strong competitor. What are Prosper's major deficiencies?
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