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Job market seems tight. There is a buzz that qualified workers are not keeping pace with jobs. Wages are up a little more than usual. Inflation easy above 2%. Consumer confidence is high. The fed actions are telling us that this is not the the same economy as the last 10 years. See a stair step...

Martin is Surf.

Sometimes I do that too. Two points of minutia , seperated by decades , across vast chasms of data... Draw a straight line connecting the two points and assign understanding or significance to this noise.

Like yourself, not a pro , not a day trader? and not a trader here. That said then why would you forfeit possibly the only powerful force we can grab a hold of? The drift, the bias....you can subtract it from individual stocks and quantify it. Same with etfs as a poster already said. I dont...

Bernie Sanders was old then too.

I think you guys have stunned, shocked and awed him. I was cheering on the 100% win rate starting a mostly long journal around AMZN $2000 time.

How do I know there are many traders running algos on 5 minute bars? This can effect price in ES or AAPL? A question, not argumentative.

Gold died quite a while back due to some things . Some things have changed some, but the gold looks about the same still. No problem, your welcome.

I have dropped a lot of those things as well. If you trade daily TF with a eye to weekly TF and you depend on trend continuation for your simple long only method to work then stocks have fit /do fit the bill well. Why try to fit a method to FX , treasuries or other markets that do not...

I do take a generic statin 10mg/day and a cheap CoQ10 200mg supplement. Probably doing more harm than good but , well I'm from a generation attracted to the largest vegetables.

HMUZ are the 3 month contracts covering a calander year. U is September expiration , Z is December and so on. Amateurs like myself can trade outright price in a single contract and price bars are what barcharts displays for these symbols. Or, you can trade your view of the yield curve. Steep is...

It's probably easier and more profitable just to sell shit online.

Check out the end of the morning mini Hang Seng session, 90 minute lunch , then the afternoon session. i recall that this contract moves more like CL or NQ, not ES with ok volume. Things get started over there at about 8PM. Est. so you would miss a good chunk if you can't trade till 2200(0200Z)

Public auctioning of a storage locker or cattle is an exercise in frontrunning/discounting future perceived value. Gamesmanship, pauses, rhythm, feigns, bluffs , various capitalized participants and tools...etc Do I hear fifdee?

So given a data set of 25 semi conductor stocks , 70 percent similarly participate in a signal meaning it isn't noise and stock(x) lags stock(y) 65% of the time . Wouldnt a relationship like that disappear quickly and actually not exist for the amateur.

I would not accept this. Reason...most, common , repetitive, orbital, future motion is known. Question is: has it been correctly discounted.

Define astrology. Wait....dont.

Average life can be less than courteous and harsh. We are aware of boundaries at work for example. Venture into an area where business beyond your scope, abilities and defined status is being conducted and we'll.....you know better not to do that. Simalarly, at your place of work, you will not...

Santa coming to each traders house ? i call bullshit, there is no Santa.

Central banks , monetary policy , swamp all textbook historical causal relationships in this new regime. Factoring new inputs real time such as tax policy , trade, balance sheet reduction certainly contribute to intermediate term price swings in assets. New regime US central bank is THE major...