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END OF WEEK JUN25-29 Hindsight , for future reference, the best posture/trade last week was not to be overweight pessimism into summit. It is reported Italy and Spain gave ultimatum ( buy bonds / recap banks) or they would "walk" from summit. So , Germany prevented that for now. Big...

Todays economy numbers flat. No factor today. actual estimate prior revised from Jun 28 08:30 Initial Claims 386K 385K 392K 387K Jun 28 08:30 Continuing Claims 3296K 3275K 3311K 3299K Jun 28...

8:30 AM, ES down .6% and financials off 2%ish on JPM rumor NY Times report JPM Whale losses may reach 9 bil. (Jul13 earnings release) Also, Barclays (BCS) is down 8.6% as British politicians are talking jail time for those found guilty of manipulating LIBOR. U.K. Chancellor Osborne...

Jun 27 08:30 Durable Orders May ACTUAL 1.1% PRIOR -0.2% DURABLE GOODS AND HOUSING, DOW +95 AND SPX +12 http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/28/business/economy/us-orders-for-durable-goods-turn-up.html Compared with a year earlier, May pending sales of previously owned properties climbed...

HOUSING better this month. CONSUMER CONFIDENCE lower . Waiting for summit Thursday May 29 09:00 Case-Shiller 20-city Index Mar -3.0% -2.8% -3.5% Jun 26 09:00 Case-Shiller 20-city Index Apr -1.9% -2.5% -2.5% -2.6% May 29 10:00 Consumer Confidence May 71.0 69.0 69.2 Jun 26 10:00...

Jun1 reversal in stocks and euro seemingly front running QE3. Greek elections pro bailout but want to get better deal. Germany backing off austerity here. Spain bank bailout is big issue and praised by politicians. No official request,. Audit. Spain and Italy auctions/yeilds popped 7%...

.xls attachment test

This site provides easy access to me from multiple locations and I read othes threads here too such as ACD and GLOBAL MACRO TRADING. I am "retail Joe" and I want to jot down some prices, relavant news etc.. regarding basic assets. I often look at charts and dont remember what was...

Just one point , humorous maybe... I double dare ya to roll out an infationary QE3 , 500 bil or so, while core CPI is holding steady the last two months at 2.3% which which is above the fed target of 2% or twist again with 10 year rates under 2% What a non-event, except...

This is an excellent thread. I am comfortable lurking....thank you.. but I do have a question and this thread seems appropriate to pose it: http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2010/07/16/288636/correlated-returns-high-yield-edition/ I am looking for a book or a source of...

Thanks for the heads up Quon. 519 pages for $23.53 ? I would be pissed if I were one of the interview'ees.

My 1week pivot ( data from last weeks bar ) has SPY price approaching the top line after this very strong day. My 3 week rolling pivot is centered around SPY 135.0 and sloping down. The 3 week rolling pivot seems a pretty good macro/trend guide. I see the SPY daily and weekly trend as...

I have been reviewing some recent history that is maybe relavant to todays problems. It seems that they havent even begun "fixin" things in todays crisis. Below are 3 sharp market reversals from 2011. They were fixing things then and this involved numerous summits, spin, and plunge protection...

Are you watching the number lines? Yes I am watching the numberline. I do see in the backdrop of what is happening in Europe and to other assets, how relatively strong US stock indexes are. I am looking for the 1345ish ES level to hold for resistance tonight/tommorrow or else it will...

I am going to use Fridays NFP range( 6 trading days ago) of 1361 - 1389 ( ES) as a an opening range due to this significant event. I have an Adown as of now and will remain biased that way until we trade up through 1389 . A downside break of of 1340 would be where I am looking to sell...

The euro supposedly has a lot of Central Bank support at 130. Maybe oil cathes a bid if it holds 130 for a couple days. Or, maybe this saga drags out to eternity.

DRN - 4xTBT

Maybe a spread to keep in the back pocket. This trade may be over. REITS may do well when investors seek high yeild better than that of notes. REITS may do well as notes prices rise and yeilds fall. REITS may do well when inflation expectations ( yeild destroying) are low. REITS...

Coincidentally, in learning spreads, last night I was looking at "long" those and other nat gas names and short nat gas for the year. Wow! Can I get an opinion? You have said that the traders you have dealt with that took home paychecks were generally good spreaders or something along...

Proshares BOIL as just another nat gas alternative. From ProShares: "This Ultra ProShares ETF seeks a return that is 2x the return of an index or other benchmark (target) for a single day, as measured from one NAV calculation to the next. Due to the compounding of daily returns...