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  1. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    Wednesday - FED Thursday- ECB Friday- NFP Drahgi/ECB could make no committment to ECB or rescue funds buying debt. No action and PA was relatively bad in Europe but DOW down -92 and coming on ito the close had to be considered stong PA. Germany is the big dog. The "up 100" pre jobs...
  2. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    FXE 121.50 -0.65% FXY 125.15 -0.47% GLD 155.14 -0.86% SPY 137.59 -0.09% TLH 138.49 -0.59% USO 33.17 1.50% UUP 22.87 0.70% No QE today from FOMC. ECB up tommorrow. ADP 160k. ISM < 50 again , contraction. Usually high + correlation between UUP and TLH not there today...
  3. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    7/30 Info on this weeks ECB/FED meetings from Marc Chandler http://seekingalpha.com/article/761261-currencies-consolidate-awaiting-key-events Explains reasonable likely for FED to push action futher out..see a couple more NFP's etc. Jackson Hole...
  4. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    6/19 Greek election swing high ends . Spain yeilds over 7% All risk assets down. Start swing low 6/21 FED disappoints with no stimulus except twist. Continue swing low. 6/26 SPY down for 3 days after hearing no QE3. Seems like technical support everywhere . Stabilize...
  5. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    Firiday 7/27 Big SPY/BOND day without much participation from euro. Media attributes a lot to ECB/Draghi today but little action in euro. European country etfs up huge again today with debtors up most(duh). US Q2 GDP printed at an annualized rate of 1.5%, just slightly above...
  6. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    Draghi ECB presidant 6am comment catalyst for big risk-on day. "Markets now feel that the most likely scenario is that the ECB will buy bonds in the market," ING rate strategist Alessandro Giansanti said. Ten-year Spanish yields were last 40 basis points lower on the day at 6.996...
  7. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    GOLD up strong(1580-1605) new 10 day high overnight with EUR/USD. up 90 pips. Dollar up stong last few days down -.5% today. Maybe QE Hilsenrath statement, but my sentiment to Gold recently was wrong and todays bar and JUN1 $100 range(on a rumor) show how strong US central bank action may be...
  8. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    US indices down 3 days. SPY has some late May and Early JUN swing highs as support at 133 along with Ma50 but after bell aapl took out all thes on indices. The uptrend from JUN1 is no longer intact. The HH was suspect and now looking for where the LL settles. Market close pre-AAPL...
  9. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    SP500 119 reports. Sales up 2.9% worst since -9% Q3 2009. 42% beat sales estimates. 73% top low earning estimates European markets down hard last two days over Spain > 7% Our financials early leaders in this potential down leg/swing. SPY Thurs. doji at HH(barely) 138ish...
  10. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    JUL 18: Indices up close to 1% today earnings headlines , revenue misses (virtually all), eps beats (virtually all) are igniting market. (IBM/EBAY tonight) . Fed managing well. Europe quiet. Shrug on any weak data(retail,beige). Upside momentum might accelerate today. But, anything...
  11. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    actual estimate Jul 16 08:30 Retail Sales Jun -0.5% 0.4% 0.2% -0.2% BAD Jul 16 08:30 Retail Sales ex-auto Jun -0.4% 0.2% 0.1% -0.4% Jul 16 08:30 Empire Manufacturing Jul 7.4 0.0 3.8 2.3 Jul 16 10:00 Business Inventories May 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% Jul 17 08:30 CPI Jun 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%...
  12. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    Retail sales for June was very bad at -0.5% and -0.4% ex autos. Expectations were for +0.2% and unchanged - autos. Third consecutive drop in a row the longest since December 2008 when the US economy was tanking Goldma Sachs cut Q2 GDP revisions to 1.1. Look back and see 1st estimate was...
  13. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    Big green bars across the board in risk-on after 6or 7 days down lightly. China GDP didnt dissapoint 7.6% and apparently the size of JPM Q2 loss and the size of the "whale" loss = 5.8 bil. wre all releif to markets. Gold up $25, indices up 1.5-2%, oil up only 1% to 87, bonds not selling...
  14. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    JUL11 FOMC minutes didnt show any desire to ease more than original statement. SPY sold off after FOMC minutes seemed to bounce off down sloping MA50 and finished near open. Holding bottom channel trendline good. Bearish with earnings unfolding as they are and SOME estimates now -neg for...
  15. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    JUL10 Tommorrow: Trade balance and FOMC meeting minutes( from extend twist...No QE3 Jun20 meeting) Possible market reads in hopes of QE3 in light of data since meeting. AMD, AA , Cummins, a couple other non majors weak earnings (missing a low bar) and low guidance. Seems like...
  16. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    "Zerohedge.com" Thank you Maverick74 and continued good luck to all.
  17. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    "Here is what is on tap this week:" Maverick74 Can you disclose the source of that info you posted ? I use briefing.com to get an idea of upcoming reports etc.....but yours is superior. Thanks.
  18. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    9JUL There were only two big distribution days in June with one being the no QE3 following day. Jun20 That big red bar is clear to see for future ref. 2.2% CHINA CPI LOWER THAN EXPECTED. euro banking regulation not ready by year end. euro 122-124 no longer 124-128...
  19. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    125k may1 for apr 77k jun1 for may 80k jul1 for jun expected 100k was 84k in jun2011 for context but increasing. now trend is down. another slowdown but still adding jobs at a slower rate. China 2nd rate cut in a month. BOE more QE. All 3 eased together but weak PA. Prior context...
  20. eurusdzn

    Total Recall

    7/2 Candler on Europe http://seekingalpha.com/article/698181-10-observations-about-europe 7/5 Jul 05 08:15 ADP Employment Change Jun 179K 110K 105K 136K 133K Jul 05 08:30 Initial Claims 06/30 374K 385K 385K 388K Jul 05 08:30 Continuing Claims 06/23 3306K 3275K 3283K 3302K 3296K Jul...
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