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  1. dtrader98

    where to find historical EPS Rev

    Anyone know a free site that has historical Q Rev and EPS going back 5 or more yrs? I can get the pdf stuff through broker, but I'd rather have it in html table format.
  2. dtrader98

    Bradley Cycle Today

    You might like to read "Paradigm". Although it is fiction, it uses the (noble prize nominated) author's theory that gravitational cycles predict market turns. In the back he has a yearly table, stating it has never missed a year in all of history. Unfortunately, the first yr it was published...
  3. dtrader98

    Best Thing for U.S. Economy: Raise Taxes

    "The idea of a national consumption tax replacing the income tax has more and more appeal to me. So long of course as basics such as groceries, utilities, etc. are exempted (there could be caps in some instances) to protect those in the lowest economic strata, who would then actually benefit...
  4. dtrader98

    s&p sds sso vol

    ok, that make some sense... -but- "The SSO, the leveraged long-biased fund, may be having trouble competing with the SPDR's, the unleveraged long-biased fund." By that argument , shouldn't there be a roughly equal number of shorts who don't want 2X leverage so they just directly short...
  5. dtrader98

    s&p sds sso vol

    Someone help me out here. Why is SDS vol/liq so much greater in magnitude (~10X) than SSO? If supply and demand makes any sense, and SSO has so little demand, shouldn't the chart point the other direction? Granted this is a chart of the underlying cash index, but still...:confused:
  6. dtrader98

    liquidity cycle

    "CDO appetite is still pretty high so don't discount that." I just read a pretty long article, titled "Toxic debt" in the latest bloomberg. It wasn't too favorable about the market, citing huge losses due to opaque instrument packages obscuring risky assets like subprime mortgages (cites 25%...
  7. dtrader98

    Vix

    Magnitude of market drop is nowhere near feb 27 (-YET-). Makes sense to me that vix has not spiked to a proportional level (-YET-). Chart you show pretty much tracks SDS IMHO.
  8. dtrader98

    liquidity cycle

    thrifty bob, I'm assuming that fed flow of funds data is somewhat accurate. Using that as a gauge, percent of household assets in funds is nowhere near 2000. Even if household financial assets dropped dramatically for the masses, it is still measured as a relative number and is far from 2000...
  9. dtrader98

    Future inflation gauge

    Anyone have current chart to post or pointer to current data (gratis :D )? Thanks.
  10. dtrader98

    liquidity cycle

    Has anyone seen or completed any type of study that looks at statistics of time periods for liquidity cycles. I would argue that most of the economy points to us about 1/4-1/2 way towards the trough approaching recession. About the only factor that has not participated on that path (-YET-) is...
  11. dtrader98

    ravi batra -- The new golden age

    Disclaimer: ok, so he got it wrong in early 90s. However, I was looking through his latest tome, "The new golden age." It had some pretty interesting coverage of inflationary cycles occurring about every 30 yrs. Also, the charts show that we are entering the beginning of a long...
  12. dtrader98

    switching from possible recession to inflation?

    stagflation. Get some bell bottom pants.
  13. dtrader98

    sell in may has been shifting

    forward recently...
  14. dtrader98

    Morgan Stanley issues TRIPLE SELL SIGNAL

    What's most ironic to me is that we had to read this in a UK paper. The US version would be edited to read, "Royal Flush alert" You just have to be able to read between the lines in our media:D
  15. dtrader98

    SELL IN MAY and GO AWAY, HERE WHY ...4 REASONS

    3-3.5 ATR stops are about to get hit on mechanical trading systems. If that gets taken out today or tomorrow => more fuel for the downside.
  16. dtrader98

    JGB futures tumble to 10-mth low on BOJ rate worry

    No one wants to see it unwind. But, it is more evidence that this liquidity driven equities bull market is getting tired. IMO
  17. dtrader98

    JGB futures tumble to 10-mth low on BOJ rate worry

    http://yahoo.reuters.com/news/articlehybrid.aspx?storyID=urn:newsml:reuters.com:20070607:MTFH07202_2007-06-07_07-00-25_T160935&type=comktNews&rpc=44 Getting closer to unwinding.
  18. dtrader98

    Utilites dropping

    Short term action looking weak. Turning down on pretty large vol -> rotating out IMO. They've been cheerleading about rate cuts, although the action says something different.
  19. dtrader98

    Is China crashing?

    I understand this argument, but I don't buy that a crashing of the market ultimately has no effect on our market. Our markets and economies are strongly intertwined. From: http://www.usnews.com/usnews/biztech/capitalcommerce/070530/is_america_at_chinas_mercy.htm "what would happen to...
  20. dtrader98

    Insider Trading on the Rampage

    http://www.pbs.org/now/shows/315/index.html allan sloan interview.
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