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  1. dtrader98

    “Way of the Turtle”

    Another similar conclusion he drew (I've seen this in my own backtesting), is that most typically advocated ATR based stops are worse than having large to no ATR based stops at all. In other words, systems with wide stops (large to no atr stop or wide MA period), generally perform better...
  2. dtrader98

    “Way of the Turtle”

    What makes the book great is that it covers (unlike most other ta books) the many pitfalls of backtesting systems and even admits to the practical reality of luck and chance in trading results. Few books cover the reality of applied systems TA the way this one does. Most books cherry pick...
  3. dtrader98

    Computer running at 100% CPU Usage and not sure why

    Bingo, my original suspicion is hardware prob; why is it hogging so much mem continuously?
  4. dtrader98

    Computer running at 100% CPU Usage and not sure why

    Good method if it's truly a virus, but overkill if the app/hardware is the problem. This above post gives more credence to the virus/spyware theory, since the poster had that problem. A fast way to possibly diagnose it is to go to task mgr (ctrl-alt-del) and just start killing processes that...
  5. dtrader98

    Computer running at 100% CPU Usage and not sure why

    How much memory is this process taking? What is the second largest memory amount? How does the first number compare when you run it on the other system that works? If you ctrl-alt-del the other system, is the memory performance the same (i.e. is your OEC process running at the top on both, and...
  6. dtrader98

    Computer running at 100% CPU Usage and not sure why

    hit ctrl-alt-del Then sort the mem usage by cllicking on it in task mgr. The highest process name will tell you what is hogging your resources.
  7. dtrader98

    Markets are in trouble.

    I'm not seeing that. Do you have a reference that shows that? I look at treasury flow of funds, and it just doesn't look like the average household ownership of stocks/mutual funds is very high as a historical percentage of household assets (sitting at about 25% last I've checked). Nothing...
  8. dtrader98

    Buying too many shares is a problem????

    ROFLMAO made me spill my drink
  9. dtrader98

    Bill miller underperforms again

    But he said his brilliant proprietary models told him that amazon was a great undervalued fundamental play. Such a great value play, that he got S&P to add them right after a horrific earnings report. Doesn't he get credit for that?
  10. dtrader98

    Buying too many shares is a problem????

    Personally, I'd be more worried about getting faded, with the other side knowing you're a retail trader. Then again, Dan Zanger said he owned something like 10% of TZOO at one time, and he did pretty well.
  11. dtrader98

    Dollar Down + Stock Market Up?

    Long term I pretty much agree with that. We've had periods where the dollar tanked before and markets skyrocketed.
  12. dtrader98

    Durable Goods Orders Plummet

    http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070926/economy.html?.v=9 Orders for Big-Ticket Durable Goods Plunge Bigger-Than-Expected Amount in August WASHINGTON (AP) -- Demand for big-ticket manufactured goods plunged in August by the largest amount in seven months, with widespread weakness signaling a...
  13. dtrader98

    qid and qqqq

    As enfinity mentioned: QID was adjusted for distribution day (QLD was not). You should get it back in form of distribution. QLD tracks 2X NASDAQ-100 QID tracks -2X NASDAQ-100
  14. dtrader98

    greenspan cartoon (humor)

    <a href="http://tinypic.com" target="_blank"><img src="http://i24.tinypic.com/m7ri8o.jpg" border="0" alt="Image and video hosting by TinyPic"></a>
  15. dtrader98

    Short Covering Rally?

    ok, so it's a visual rorschach, but if you follow channels it looks looks like an extremely tempting bull trap testing the bottom of the prior upward channel. Looks like futures indicate it's going to try to gap back into the upward channel? Something just seems so aesthetically wrong...
  16. dtrader98

    Now I understand the Rate cut anger at ET

    What triggered the rate cuts in the first place? Deja Vu? This is the same fiasco that unwound with the thai baht currency derivatives debacle. Same players, different derivative instruments -- GS works with Moody's/S&P to repackage and slap high ratings on junk, whereby the risk gets...
  17. dtrader98

    Short Covering Rally?

    small specs are also getting mighty long on the COTs. Add to that the short implosion characteristics you mentioned. Stuff like that gives me concern. There's definitely potential for one more washout before a continued run. But, the extreme sentiment on the last drop sure does seem to...
  18. dtrader98

    Stewart interviews Greenspan

    <div class="center"><embed FlashVars='videoId=102970' src='http://www.comedycentral.com/sitewide/video_player/view/default/swf.jhtml' quality='high' bgcolor='#cccccc' width='332' height='316' name='comedy_central_player' align='middle' allowScriptAccess='always' allownetworking='external'...
  19. dtrader98

    phony bin ladin puts crisis

    Funny how I haven't seen too many posters doing a postmortem on this fictional fear factor. I remember seeing several posts awhile back, certain that some catastrophe was going to occur. There are plenty of manipulation rumors spreading around these days. Nice Blog on it...
  20. dtrader98

    Hedge Funds and Private Equity Alter Career Calculus

    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/09/16/business/16mba.html?_r=1&ref=education&oref=slogin "At funds that manage $1 billion to $3 billion, people with just a few years of finance experience will make $337,000 this year, Mr. Zoia says, and those with five to nine years of experience will average...
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