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They ARE manipulation. Among other effects, they both indirectly inflate profits with money which doesn't exists, because at some time you will have to give it back(if you don't, you get hyper-inflation). Thus you lower P/E ratios which will influence some kind of fundamental analysis which in...

Again. People read what I don't write and think. I don't have ideology or ideas on how markets should be. Markets have always been manipulated, that's a matter of fact. Difference now is how and how much central banks manipulate markets. It's not only the FED. Actually, I believe they made an...

This thread title mentions a BEGINNING of a 80% collapse this week, and OP talks about another event in November. So noone said there would be a 80% crash this week, even though OP probably thinks about a fast decline. Question is: we have 2 days left only, or the week-end is good too? Not...

I'm not sure about the effect of buying ETFs: if the ETF is long and someone buys it, the firm must buy the underlying anyway. Short ETFs will cause firms to use derivatives,or if it's the same firm who sells long ETFs, they will sell their positions. In the latter case, yes,many retail...

Perfectly agree. Last 10 months "they" spent their time teaching us that whenever there is a fall, there is a greater rebound, and everything is under control: volatility is low so you can (or must?) buy big size. When everyone has learnt this lesson, then...

Me too see preparation for consistent stock prices decline, don't know how much, and for how long.

write your code in C# = you can do what you want with a standard interface (.NET instead of COM),still slower (in general) than VB6 You're actually telling that principles haven't changed at all,as I supposed.

In my view all "modern" economies can't go but down.If central banks or any other entity don't want that,they will manipulate markets and economy forever.It is not possible that they leave markets alone for more than a small period,when they'd realize they'd have to step in again. If US economy...

It's just an impression,but I really don't think USD/JPY will reach 99.30 anytime soon

Though I'm no China expert, I can agree that their economy is fragile (see their overnight REPO) and real estate has problems. I believe there will be troubles, but big difference is THEY ARE GROWING, they are in the rising side of the cycle. US is in the falling side of the cycle in my...

Another thing I remember, when Bernanke made announcements like for example operation Twist, the market fell in the following days but in less than a week time it had already started a long rise.

I don't think so.They are just trying to structure their system instead of putting continuous stimulus in place to keep an 8% growth each year. I can't even think of someone who wants to do "quantitative easing" to reach 8% growth instead of 7% or 4%. Maybe China understands that stimulus is...

The run-up you're talking about would be to 1720-1750 area, followed by a 200-240 points drop from there? I mean,is the first post still valid?

this would be "monetizing the debt", what japan and us may be forced to do at some time. as far as i know when you start monetizing the debt, you get 2% inflation... per day

Good point. I'd add that besides systemic banking crisis we have systemic government debt crisis and everything is linked. So be careful when you say: OK, let's crash the world and start fresh. And I'd say that Bernanke & Co. should be selected professionals: I don't think it's easy to become...

That's the point. It is what I'd like to do as I wrote in other posts. But problem is the public. This solution means apparently "doing nothing". Imagine the FED doing nothing, the economy collapse, and the Keynesians shouting "you have to pump money in the system,why don't you do it?"...

Yes, don't attach a name.I'm not saying they didn't steal/make errors (I agree with the points you make), but why all modern economies are now in trouble and not just US? Who benefits from the system? As I said, I think we all got richer. I don't know which system you are talking about...

We cannot agree, I will NEVER believe that there exist rules (5 year terms,putting in charge etc) that will stop power from influencing institutions.And I repeat: to me this is not the real problem. To get things in balance you need the right people, there are places in equilibrium...

To me it's clear that if they embarked in QE2 and QE3 it was because they had to: it's like drug, when you stop you are destroyed. If you look at the data you see that the pace of "recovering" has remained the same,while stimulus has increased: exactly like drug. If they didn't do that I...

To me the problem is not the thieves, the powerful which become more powerful. Yes they are a problem and a cost, but the real problem comes from EVERYONE trying to have more: people on an average have got increasing wealth in the last 50 years, and this can't go on forever. This is a problem...