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    Any Bulls Turned Bears?

    possible. I am just teasing him :D
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    Pabst's Blue Ribbon Trades

    If you say so :) I started to build "C N7" before the close - feels like trying to catch a falling knife...
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    Starting a hedge fund

    Hi Tatnic, first I wish you good luck. You are right that your performance is not stellar. It seems to be highly correlated to equity markets :eek: suggesting that you are not adding much alpha (but maybe only leveraged beta). Question is why you want to start HF in the first place. Is...
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    Any Bulls Turned Bears?

    wishful thinking Mr BLSHi :D
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    Pabst's Blue Ribbon Trades

    short bonds is not very effective at these levels. you should play it via short term (ZT/ZF) for the past few days. some ideas here: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=86414
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    correlation of currencies

    I am not activelly trading FX but if you talk in terms of delta isn't this like trading short EUR/USD? :eek:
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    Employment data this month.

    let's try to see some positives here - it is likely to be very volatile, low volume session making a good chance for a killing :)
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    Too many numbers being released

    That is pretty naive - have you got that from Samuelson or some kind of static IS-LM thinking? Why did equity market go up in the past 3 years with short rates creeping higher every 6 weeks? It is much more likely that if Rates go up then Stocks go up because economy must be fine when rates...
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    Cheapest Stocks in 20 Years Signal Bull Market as Economy Slows

    when equity markets can't go down (as in the previous 5 weeks) then I do not mind being a bit long...
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    Bond Trader 2007

    with respect to what I was doing I was actually posting it... 03-29-07 06:36 PM - took some profits on shorts and increased 5x30 flattener... 03-30-07 01:38 PM - took all profit on 5x30 flattener right after PCE numbers (turned out to be the best level of the day) I should add that in...
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    Corn Future ZC

    this is a second limit down in a row.
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    Which Stock Do You Feel Will Rise

    If I was really sure oil goes to $100 I would max my margin on CL....:cool: If you can trade only stocks then I agree with <b>michaelscott</b>, i.e. that the best way to play it is via small cap (if you have the guts). In particular pick a company whose survival depends on good cash flow...
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    Bond Trader 2007

    how difficult it was to trade last Friday really depends on what horizon and what type of analysis one uses. It seems that most of people here on ET use TA and trade with maximum horizon of few hours. I agree that for them it was crazy. However for people using FA (with TA only as a...
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    June Gold...

    Thanks! buy yeah - that's exactly the problem... Why does not gold go higher now?!
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    Citigroup's Chief Economist Warns "Severe Market Correction" Now Likely

    On equities I am the least certain because there is currently no contrarian perspective. But I need to have some longs from the long term perspective - so I play it largely in Asia. Also on real estate, relatively speaking, I am in fact a bull - many companies are now sold basically for free...
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    Chicago PMI leaked?

    cheers not certain but it looks like you get 3 minutes head start for $240.00? annually (assuming NAPM member is enrolled for this service). It was introduced in Oct-04.
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    Chicago PMI leaked?

    maybe you are cheap :) i will try to google it...
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    June Gold...

    I did <i>almost</i> exactly the same thing today - after many weeks slightly reduced my long - based just on a strange feeling... of course it will shoot up on Monday :D
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    Chicago PMI leaked?

    do you know how much it costs?
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    Citigroup's Chief Economist Warns "Severe Market Correction" Now Likely

    not at all. I did not want to say I agree with Rhodes. I just tried to explain why Citi would not necessarily mind a recession. I am quite stubborn with my market views, i.e. bearish on bonds, bullish on commodities, neutral on US real estate in the short term, slightly positive on equities...
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