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  1. S

    String Theory

    LOL, maybe he's thinking about the Camarilla equation .
  2. S

    String Theory

    When is the next installment of the series? Did anyone see last night show? Honestly, it was too simplistic.
  3. S

    a rare marketsurfer stock pick

    What are you basing this on? TA or fundamental analysis?
  4. S

    ET Pro Pick'em (NFL)

    Jets -3, straight up, + 3.5 You heard it here first. :)
  5. S

    statistical arbitrage

    Fair enough. Yes, Cointegration measure long term stabiilty but you forgetting that you can measure the speed of mean reversion! Which is the heart of stats arb. In addition with vector autoregression (VAR), you can measure the speed of mean reversion for Any set of variable, while at...
  6. S

    statistical arbitrage

    :) I didnt notice how long my respond was. Here's a Cliffnote. 1. Pairs Trading is different from statistical arbitrage. Would you consider longing ES and shorting NQ as statistical arbitrage? I wouldnt. I wouldnt consider long-short strategy based on technical analyais as stats arb...
  7. S

    statistical arbitrage

    What is the justification for this venting/venom? Your Comment: "You keep mentioning that you ran a desk arb as if it means something. I routinely crush the returns these guys yearly returns in two months of trading." Please refresh me... how many time did I bring this up? Once, perhaps...
  8. S

    These Guys are Good

    Yeah... definitely Note that the Title of the trend is " These Guys are good" Yet.... Subsequent commnet: "Has anyone used this service? I hear they are really making a lot of people money?" Can you say, Oxymoronic.
  9. S

    statistical arbitrage

    The difficulty of math level depends on education and experience. If you have a PHD or even a Master, clearly the mathematics is rather simple. Take the simple topic of GARCH. There are at least six prominent forms I know of... which out do you choose? Tough question. The selection...
  10. S

    statistical arbitrage

    Kinda tough to explain statistical arbitrage .... the math is somewhat rigorous. The "stats arb" that traders used on this forum is not really stats arb. Technical analysis on pairs is not statiscal arb. Moreover, correlation is a horrible, horrible measurement... You hit the hammer...
  11. S

    statistical arbitrage

    Statistical arbitrage is very, very quantitative ... we're talking about cointegration, integrated I(2) into I(0), nonlinear combination, ARIMA, EGARCH, etc.. It's a tough tough arena. Using simple technical analysis will put you behind the eight ball.
  12. S

    Calendar spreads

    Steady income with occasional large drawdown ... not really daytrading IMO.
  13. S

    Baggerlord's Method For Scalping the YM

    Caution! Caution! I just look up the book that your method is based on it. The Compleat Book is written by.... Jake Bernstein. Run do not walk... run from that system
  14. S

    markets never GAP open anymore

    28 divided by 5 * 252 = 2.22% That's minuscule
  15. S

    ES daily calls results

    I have to agree wtih ElectricSavant on this one... If he's really here to help traders, a better description of his methodology should be in order. I cant imagine a trader who simply take calls without some thorough understanding of the system. But that just me and my two cents
  16. S

    Is Undergroundtrader.com reliable?

    Read Jay's Shitty book and you get the answer.
  17. S

    Career Advice Needed

    I would like to add to the above remarks. Most hedge fund opening position are usually quantitatively based. Thus look carefully at the fund.
  18. S

    % Accuracy

    Believe it or not: there's a simple answer to your question, Use T-test for proportion.
  19. S

    Wanted --New Grads: Trade with my capital

    You mean NOPaid Intern :D
  20. S

    Stock market versus GDP

    Discounting. Clearly the author doesnt really grasp market dynamics. For example, for the last couple of weeks during the midst of earnings seasons, the market has been pretty tepid despite more than favorable numbers. Leading indicator came out as expected; this would have push the Dow at...
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