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  1. TheBigShort

    Exposing Retail to Realized vol

    Why are there no ETFs or closed ended funds that give retail exposure to a delta hedged straddle or a replicated variance swap? I would imagine something like this would be a hit. A delta hedged put strategy would also make a lot of sense. This would be a great way to give investors exposure to...
  2. TheBigShort

    If you had to choose between VRP and TRP?

    There are quite a few things wrong with using these numbers. VIX like the Varswap is closer to the 90% moneyness strike than the ATM strike so those numbers are already biased high. As a retail trader it's best to compare the ATM strike as you are trading options and can not trade the varswaps...
  3. TheBigShort

    If you had to choose between VRP and TRP?

    There is still a risk premium, .80 is not nothing. Just don't think you can start selling 30 day straddles, have a mediocre hedging strategy, pay your taxes and walk away doing better than buy and hold the S&P. If you were selling a variance swap you would do much better because its priced...
  4. TheBigShort

    If you had to choose between VRP and TRP?

    "collect" is the not the right term to use. Plot the IVOL-RVOL spread (lagged RVOL 20 days) over the last 10 years. The mean is less than 1 point. After commissions, taxes and sub par hedging you would be lucky to come out with a profit. Data is provided by ORATS. RVOL is 20 bus day tick data...
  5. TheBigShort

    Reducing Noise for Dependent Variable

    I am reading Brian Petersons research on how to build systematic strategies https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319298448_Developing_Backtesting_Systematic_Trading_Strategies. He states - If we have a good conceptualization of the hypothesized properties of the indicator, we can construct...
  6. TheBigShort

    Tesla straddle

    As H20 stated. Vol is likely to stay bid going into the event. The stock only needs to move a few dollars to start making this position a loser
  7. TheBigShort

    How to decide whether to buy spot or option?

    I have been taught - If you have a delta view buy the stock if you have a gamma/vega view buy the option. With that said when I go to Bloomberg seminars the "market specialists" often talk about buying options for a directional view. It's hard to think about buying options for a directional...
  8. TheBigShort

    Where to host your code to run systematically

    Actually one more thing Heydrrich. I am going to be pulling from my github. When I pull, do I have to clone the whole document or is there an alternative
  9. TheBigShort

    Where to host your code to run systematically

    Brilliant. Thanks for all your help @Heydrich. To add to your advice, this link was the final piece for me https://www.digitalocean.com/community/tutorials/how-to-set-up-automatic-deployment-with-git-with-a-vps
  10. TheBigShort

    Where to host your code to run systematically

    We are almost there. So I followed the links instructions and pushed a script to git. The script simply says - every 5min send me an email with the time of day. I would like to run the file and turn off my computer to see it in action. Is this line the final piece to the puzzle? wget -O -...
  11. TheBigShort

    Using Implied Volatility for Portfolio Optimization

    LOL. Little does Kevin know about his shrine our schools trading team visits every Sunday to pay tribute. "The Legendary Kevin Schmit". When you are at the terminals next week, we can go over some of what Kevin wrote. I'll do a bit of research over the weekend (as I am not very familiar with...
  12. TheBigShort

    Same Day Wire Transfers From IB to International Bank

    After talking with IB they said I can transfer in and out to a joint account Unfortunatelty it will be necessary
  13. TheBigShort

    Same Day Wire Transfers From IB to International Bank

    I am from Canada and looking to start a business with a partner in the states. For our business I will need to transfer cpaital from my IB account to his IB account on a frequent basis (once per day for the first 6 months and than once a week after). The flows will be going both ways. For...
  14. TheBigShort

    Where to host your code to run systematically

    I decided to go the route of Digital Ocean with Ubuntu. Everything is up and running and I have R installed on my VPS. My next step is going to be using cron to run my R script. However I am not too sure how to save an R script to re-use in the console. I am so used to using R Studio that I am...
  15. TheBigShort

    Where to host your code to run systematically

    Thanks Guru! I like the idea of storing the run times. For some reason I thought it would be much more complicated. Seems easy enough.
  16. TheBigShort

    Where to host your code to run systematically

    I am currently doing windows task scheduler which is what I am trying to move away from. It looks like I want to go the approach you took with your C# script. Would you mind giving me a brief overview and then I'll fill in the gaps. I am more interested on how you set up the server and how...
  17. TheBigShort

    Where to host your code to run systematically

    hey guru I think you are familiar with C++ IIRC. I need a program that will run the C++ script every N hours. Lets say you have a simple script #include <iostream> using namespace std; int main() { cout << "Hello, World!"; return 0; } I want my instance on AWS to run this at specific...
  18. TheBigShort

    Where to host your code to run systematically

    Hey everyone, I have code (R of course) that I have running on my PC. Every hour my PC wakes up and runs my .bat file which runs my .R script. I don't like the idea of my computer continuously waking up. Some times I come home and my task scheduler ran the code past my end time (lets say 4pm...
  19. TheBigShort

    Limit up on the day?

    Im pretty sure I was a few beers deep and extremely excited when I said that (as it was a really big day for me)! What I meant was given my risk parameter I was hitting the upper threshold on what I could have made for the day. I was using defined risk trades (long flys), I usually calculate...
  20. TheBigShort

    Do people buy stocks for P/E or for price increase ?

    Let's say you have 2 companies Company A = $20/share with Eps of -$1/share. This gives you a P/E of -20. Company B = $20/share with Eps of -$10/share. This gives you a P/E of -2. Without looking at P/E we would prefer company A that is only losing -$1 a share over company B that is losing...
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