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Ever experience something hit your face or hands when speaking to someone up close? Those are droplets from someone mouth. Wearing a mask cuts down the droplets. We can't tell whether we have the virus or not. By wearing a mask cuts down transmission from asymptomatic carriers.

The stock market is multifaceted. Ones has to have a model that drill deep(detail) and wide(coverage) to predict the market. On top of all these, we have central bank intervention and virus. Once these things go away, the model will unravel again. :(

The trouble with testing....we never stop testing until we get the results that we are expecting.

There is no one size fits all for stop loss. During calm market, I tighten stop loss and volatile market, I reduced holding and widen stop loss.

Continue to backtest until the result looks good. :sneaky:

We know little and think we are right and yet not know enough to know we are wrong. In this business, know wrong early is an edge too. Market is not totally free and big players can move it in the direction they want.

If read watch the Winning Method of Market Wizards by Jack Schwagger, then you will know there is no one method that will work. I would like to add that there is no one method that will work all the time. The market beast is multifaceted. Learn both fundamental and technical analysis and observe...

Not promoting his master class, but what he said lend some credence.

If this virus is man made, then humanity is in trouble.

Tribute to the late Kenny Rogers. Trading such a difficult skill to acquire. TA is just another tool. Using it effectively is another skill altogether.

Hi, If I use the function in a trading software to scan for low of (end of day) closing price. There happen to be two lows of identical value. The function returns the earlier low instead of the latest low. The earlier low did not trigger an entry signal but the later one did. Is this good...

Heard of Nipah virus. This virus got its from the place it struck. This happened 4 years before SARS. In short, fruit bat infected the pig and the pig infected human and other animals.

If looking at the trendline statistic, 60% of stock that move above 50day MA cannot last for more than 10 days. However, those that can stay above the 50 day MA for more than 10 days, 30% will fail. Not much of a comfort. Just being patient and observing the "behavior" of the trend, one may be...

Maybe a picture can explain better. Such a high VIX(>80) is very rare. IF the VIX trend down like what had happened in the green circle, then there is a good buying opportunity.

Personally, I would buy index ETF when the VIX is trending toward 20. As long as VIX is above 40, I stay on the sideline.

I suppose not many among you folks listen to the No Agenda talks by Adam Curry and John Dvorak. To them, it just like common cold. This virus is dangerous to those with medical condition and aged. Some need intensive medical care. If the spread is not controlled, it will overwhelm the medical...

When VIX is above 20, market is getting volatile. When it is above 40, potential correction may occur. Since 2008, such events only occur 5 times including the current one. 1. Oct 2008 to Apr 2009 2. May 2010 3. Aug 2011 to Sep 2011 4. Aug 2015 5. Mar 2020 Be patient, watch it trending down...

He has almost 3 months to witness what had happened in China. He probably believe that ACE2 gene crap.

WHO just make it pandemic. At the moment, DJI is down more than 5%. It could be just another flu and there is no need for national guard. Let it play out and if one could not take the market volatility then just stay out. Let the market do what it likes. For sure, DJI won't shoot back to 29500...

Let's use the conjecture that 1 in 10 makes money in stock. From this, we can conclude that few makes money. So, popular decision or following the crowd do not make money.