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  1. S

    Edward O. Thorp on charting

    Surprised to see that some think Ed Thorp is wrong. Who? Ed. Thorp. Give me a break. BTW @basha, good article. Thanks.
  2. S

    SP 500 Diamond Top

    The one that will break your account matters.
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    What are the current limits of artificial intelligence? & their weaknesses

    We need some real I, RI, not AI.
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    Chart Trading

    Any chart traders left?
  5. S

    Anchored Walk Forward Optimization to Avoid Curve Fitting

    System parameter permutation for losers. :)
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    Fake Breakout on the Daily Triangle?

    All of TA is fake.
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    Need somewhere to think out loud,

    Big one is coming.
  8. S

    DJIA

    Big one is coming. I let you choose direction.
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    Anchored Walk Forward Optimization to Avoid Curve Fitting

    There is no know method to avoid curve-fitting because you do not know whether system is curve-fitted or not.
  10. S

    The TREND is your friend.. The biggest lie ever!

    Stop trolling people and start to trade. Trolling won't help.
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    Why did trend following work well in commodities in 1970s but lost effectiveness later?

    Trend following is done. Everyone with skin in the game knows that. There will always be outperformance from lucky manages/traders but the style/method is done.
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    Where to get Systems

    For example?
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    Does SVM work? Pointers to SVM trading systems examples?

    Minimizing quantity and maximizing quality of features is necessary for avoiding over-fitting. I think this is one reason Price Action Lab works better than machine learning with several features. This is one of the best articles I have come across that explains the dangers from data-mining in...
  14. S

    who is dumb enough to sell weekly calls on SPX/ES

    You need a dumb seller to go long.:)
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    Quantopian

    You are correct, no tick bars. I checked again after a while and documentation has improved significantly. Still without tick bars their fill model produces much better backtests than when using higher granularity that is common. Also I noticed the platform is gaining popularity among some...
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    Best book for a novice trader to learn daytrading?

    Not only outdated but unless one is not planning of going fully automate/collocated and backtest strategy on at least minute data chances are will trade randomly against vicious market maker robots.
  17. S

    Quantopian

    I think he is saying that some people may try to convince others to develop systems in their platform with the objective of profiting from them. I think Quantopian advertises this openly and promises a cut. They are sincere about it. The question is how long the edge if any will last when the...
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