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  1. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Good news is good news for the bears.
  2. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Hilarious but its true.
  3. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Dollar again surging on Yellen's hawkish remarks. We'll see if the bulls continue to believe that higher rates are good for stocks.
  4. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    They were moving into safe havens like treasuries and gold, and now unsurprisingly these things are getting dumped as they chase the SPX higher. Yellen will be testifying tomorrow, but right now this market does not appear to care about it. I guess buying does beget more buying.
  5. T

    Do arbitrage opportunities exist for retail investors?

    No idea if such opportunities still exist but I made my first pot of gold doing arbitrage in a niche market. Retail will never find arb opportunities in liquid markets, the money is always made where liquidity is lacking.
  6. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Cancelled order. Missed it by a tick so I don't think I will want to sell 2095 if this gets there by next week or something.
  7. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    It'd only be positive for financials, can't see how it'd benefit other sectors on the S&P.
  8. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    I said rarely, never say never.
  9. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Not likely, but never say never, btw the odds have gone up for March and the months following that as well.
  10. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Stop for the trade, if order gets filled, will be 8 pts.
  11. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Fed fund futures now indicate a higher % of chance that the fed will hike in Dec, treasuries crashed today (2yr note +8 basis pts), dollar up huge vs everything, gold tanks etc.
  12. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    So the dollar rockets on a hawkish fed, bonds tank and stocks soar, all of these points to panicky asset managers rotating out of treasuries into stocks, I got a feeling these guys will be buying the highs and selling the lows again. Got a a limit order to sell ES at 2095, hopefully it will be...
  13. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Staying away until after FOMC. My gut feeling is that the fed will be incredibly dovish again, Dec rate hike will be taken off the table and the market will rally into Christmas.
  14. T

    Do you believe in the fractal nature of the stock market?

    The market is definitely not fractal. A very strong downtrend on a 1 min chart that looks like a crash might actually only show up as a blip (minor reaction) on a weekly chart. One has absolutely nothing to do with the other.
  15. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Yea its futile it seems, but downside volatility will come back at some point, the market is playing a game of cat and mouse with the fed. The market is essentially calling the fed's bluff by dumping risky assets and crashing the market each time they threaten to hike, the fed backs off every...
  16. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    I don't think the gap is going to fill today, its just highly improbable. But I think this will be filled within the next 2 weeks, nothing goes up or down in a straight line.
  17. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Took this thing less than 48 hrs to move up 65 pts and forever to retrace a couple of pts, sucks being a bear in this market.
  18. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Flat 64.
  19. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    25bps cut and 50bps RRR cut.
  20. T

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Short ES 2072, 10 pt stop.
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