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Hi, can you tell how the map on $INDU daily is calculated ? Thanks... :)

Yes. RIG,DO,NE,GSF are lagging the $OSX, and the $OSX lags the $SPX.

Higher oil price means higher interest rates at end of econ cycle --> it destroyes the breadth($nysi,$nasi) and the homebuilders in the market.

Hi. I'm from Norway. Stockmarket normally leads crude oil down/up. $Nikkei has been good with turningpoints like jan.1997, feb.1999, oct. 2000, oct.2003 for crude oil. $XOI-index has often been lagging, maybe because it's also some type of utility ?

Learning about fib many years ago changed my thinking from 1.000 s/r-levels to ca. 0.786 and 1.272. 80% of traders look for horizontal support(1.000).

Volume today is perhaps 10 times that in 1998 for crude oil. It perhaps therefore makes smaller waves with ca. 1.5 months lead. 1990-99 it was tech, tech, tech in Usa. S&P500 did not follow macro-phases very well. I made charts using Nikkei and showing the 5 months lead to crude oil. And the...

Agree 100%. You could try wave 2 also if it is a AB=CD, but there are better patterns in wave 4 area.

I took the Wolfe wave chart posted on this topic and did put on my stuff : http://www.aksjeinfo.com/ubb/Forum1/HTML/000156.html I studied Wolfe wave som years ago, but did find it hard to use. It might have a positive edge.

Now you have a g-pullback in EUR/USD daily bars. But EUR/USD in daily is normally not very harmonic so I almost never trades it. Crude oil is much better. EUR/USD is more harmonic in weekly

Expanded Gartley(g-pullback). (Normal Gartley is more common). Ca. 62% odds. And R/R ca. 1.30. :) In my system there are patterns that in my opinion are better(ca.68% and R/R 1.30). So... if I risk $500 on the 62% odds I risk $1000 on the 68%.

You might try a trend-fiilter. Pullbacks works better in solid trends in the timeframe you trade.

I've got "information overload" when looking at tick,tickq,trin,trinq. I'd rather just look at sectors like semi, tech, brokers, bank, oil, steel, gold to understand where money are going, and asset-classes like bonds, USD and oil.

Silver, copper and partly gold trend much more than crude oil and S&P500. So one can probably not use it on 1-2 month swings. I just look at them at 2-8 days pullbacks, divergence over that periode when I have a pattern(pullback). So if it is 1-2 months trade you have in your test you can...

Did read about the Woodies CCI -system now. The number 1 pattern is much the same as my g-pullback and a-pullback. You really don't need that indicator. Indicators give nothing extra info.

284 points in Nasdaq-index, but it is not Nasdaq100. NDX is ca. 30% less. And then you have slippage. 1 tick ?

Many links... some of them have good info... : :)) http://www.aksjeinfo.com/ubb/Forum1/HTML/000072.html http://www.aksjeinfo.com/ubb/Forum1/HTML/000132.html

It's more than XLE/$XOI to look at. In my opinion one should look at the other commodities and compare them to crude oil for divergence. HG, GC, SI, HG, HU, HO. Now has been the the driving-season over there, and HU is important. And then you have the futures, the prices in 2009, 2010, 2011...

How much does their service cost ? (intraday forecast)

Murray : You mean invers dollar-index, for example the EUR/USD ? Stocks leads commodities, that's no breaking news. But I have not found that EUR/USD leads commodities(here : crude).

Yes, parabolic price-action is a warning that a pullback will not work very well.