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  1. M

    Money Management

    I think Ryan Jones book... http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/0471316989/qid=1085428595/sr=1-1/ref=sr_1_1/002-0198214-3025665?v=glance&s=books ...and Van Tharps book, above, are all you need to get a very good understanding of money management. They give you they theory...
  2. M

    I'm becoming a trend follower

    You might want to look at this post... http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=26623 Of course it's up to you to backtest whatever method you use for following a trend. The most important thing (!) about trend following is that you must have reentry rules if you get...
  3. M

    I'm becoming a trend follower

    If you only follow one market you will get stuffed. But if you diversify then trend following can be extremely profitable.
  4. M

    Trading System Analysis

    Some discussion here as well... http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=2126
  5. M

    Backtesting Software

    I'd love to bait Jack but he would then bamboozle, confabulate and generally confuse the shit out of me. :p If you're my better AND white trash what does that make me :confused: :( :eek: TradeStation 8 for me. I've tried both eSignal and TS and - trust me here - TS is MUCH better.
  6. M

    Backtesting Software

    lol. I assume you're one of those fundamentalist christians who believe Noah's flood happened last Thursday week. http://www.esignalcentral.com/support/faq/esignal/quotesdata/quotesdata_kind_histdata.asp eSignal is a great real-time charting package but you can't use it for serious...
  7. M

    Backtesting Software

    ...but there is virtually no data so eSignal is hopeless for backtesting. Mike - You can get free copies of TradeStation 2000i off the Internet. Find some data and you're off.
  8. M

    Trading the same system with different variables

    You're trading the same system with double the contracts. What's the difference between trading... 1 contract of S(3,5) AND 1 contract of S(5,3) 2 contracts of S(3,5) OR 2 contracts of S(5,3) ? Just looks like twice the risk, twice the reward to me.
  9. M

    construction and use of adaptive averages

    FWIW I did find that Adaptive MA's generate about 20% fewer trades than a Simple MA and about 10% less than Exponential and Weighted MAs. But that may be just my system.
  10. M

    construction and use of adaptive averages

    Hi, I find that KAMA is so reactive that there are virtually no periods where it is flat. I thought about what you said to see if I could improve my system entries and exits but when I look through a chart I can't see any major periods where it is trading in flat markets. This is just a...
  11. M

    construction and use of adaptive averages

    Sorry :eek: As I see it... Simple MA's enter too late and exit too late. Adaptive MA's enter too early (before a trend change is confirmed) and exit too early (on a retrace, whilst the trend is still in place). You need to find something in between. I found the Exponential meets...
  12. M

    construction and use of adaptive averages

    I have been looking at using Adaptive MA's in trend following strategies. I've looked at Kaufman's KAMA, Chande's VIDYA and Ehlers' MAMA and compared them against Simple, Exponential and Weighted MAs. There wasn't much in it but if I had to choose the 'best' it would be an Exponential MA...
  13. M

    Jurik indicator for Excel

    I have Kaufman's KAMA and Chande's VIDYA adaptive MAs in Excel. There is also Ehler's MAMA but it is a bit difficult to translate to Excel.
  14. M

    How can I tell if my system is ROBUST

    Aafwintb, Ryan Jones' book 'The Trading Game' has a couple of very good chapters on Optimization and Robust Statistics. The book is actually about money management so you probably wouldn't want to buy it just for those chapters. Cheers
  15. M

    How can I tell if my system is ROBUST

    I'm not saying RSI should make money. Aafwintb asked a question about the 'robustness' of systems and, as an example, said should he use an RSI of 6 with x statistics or an RSI of 12 with y statistics. My comment was that choosing between 6 or 12 is not the most important thing. When looking...
  16. M

    How can I tell if my system is ROBUST

    Sorry. A bit to esoteric for me. What does that question mean?
  17. M

    Ryan Jones - the final frontier in snakeoil!!

    ditto what Yannis says :) plus... What you have described is one method of MM. There are several others each with its own advantages and disadvantages. Surely the best option is to test them all and see what works for you?
  18. M

    How can I tell if my system is ROBUST

    IMHO The important thing is that any value you choose for your RSI period makes money. Not just 6 and 12, but 1 though 30. It's kind of irrelevant which value you actually choose because it is based on the past and the future will be different.
  19. M

    Ryan Jones - the final frontier in snakeoil!!

    Can you tell me which books you think are more advanced on the subject of MM. Thanks
  20. M

    Ryan Jones - the final frontier in snakeoil!!

    I put together a spreadsheet comparing Fixed Ratio and Fixed Fractional using Monte Carlo simulations. I found that FR was better. Ryan Jones does say that FR is only for starters and then when you have plenty of money you should switch to FF. I haven't compared this to Van Tharps MM methods...
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