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  1. K

    Dow 14,000 soon

    LUM today has some problems. You should check And another crisis looming - credit card debt increased dramatically and it's not 4-5% mortgage payment it's much more 13B just in one month. It's like 40$ per each just in one month And interest is gonna be around 150 mil$ every month just for...
  2. K

    Fed cut Monday or Tuesday

    I don't really see why you mention Fed rate and compare it to bond yields Fed rate is higher for quite a long time and it wasn't big concern till now and inverted curve is when short term bonds pay more than long term and it's not inverted now
  3. K

    Fed cut Monday or Tuesday

    that's nice your not representing FED with you we would already had 0% interest rate and 100% inflation
  4. K

    Info leaked from Fed?

    S&P + 1% in last 30 minutes
  5. K

    Fed cut Monday or Tuesday

    You're so wrong and pathetic Just 2 weeks ago market had it record highs, bonds were at 5.25 and oil was at record highs Has inflation slowed in 2 weeks? Or Fed should cut and rise every 2 weeks? Or should it just give avay money for free who was not lucky at stock market? Current deep in...
  6. K

    Foreign exposure to subprime?

    Is it big? I heard there are problems with Austalian and German hedge funds. It might be quite beneficial for US and $ if exposure is big enough So foreigners will pay with their oil money for our greed :D At least I see A$ is down 4% since meltdown has started
  7. K

    Fed cut Monday or Tuesday

    you must be joking. current crisis happened because rates are too low, inflation is out of control. Iraq war and irresponsible tax cuts for rich just added. Now only a rate rise can save current situation. Through recession but that's only solution to deflate credit bubble When everyone rises...
  8. K

    I can see fed cutting rates next week

    silk be a man. just take your loss and move on. Don't beg for a rate cut.
  9. K

    why such Huge Losses if the Loans are COLLATERIZED?

    30% rise in a year and then 5% down begging for a rate cut? everyone will put his money to Euro, Pound etc if rate cut happens. Fed is out of control. Rates must be around 10% now with all inflation around If they cut it's over for US
  10. K

    I can see fed cutting rates next week

    If Fed doesn't care about $ why would they care about stock market? it still 25% higher than a year ago, that was a bubble type behavior - so why it can't be allowed to deflate to 1200-1300 range? People sold dollars today like crazy - there are a lot of dollars if $ still can go down...
  11. K

    I can see fed cutting rates next week

    Yes, you're right - the solution for this crisis is not rate cuts but recession to reduce demand. Economy can't be driven by consumption anymore as all consumption is financed by new debt So demand must be cut by rate rises - it will deflate all commodity bubbles, make consumer responsible...
  12. K

    I can see fed cutting rates next week

    And $ demands rate rise. Oil demands rate rise. Food prices demand rate rise People who will never be able to buy their first house because of this bubble demand rate rise to cool prices at least 20-30% And stock market which rose 20-30% since last July demand rate rise So what fed should...
  13. K

    hee is why bear market is not going to happen

    runaway inflation! if fed cuts or doesn't cut doesnt matter russia, japan and china have 2 trillions combined and all other another 5 trillions and they don't know what to do with them stock market will be ok doesn't matter what it's just not possible to crash it
  14. K

    Show starts in 15 minutes

    Still haven't decided to buy or to sell Yen is up 0.3%.
  15. K

    trading the s&p futures vs SPY's

    what about time value in ES? How it's counted? As I understand ES depreciates overtime So for longterm hold SPY is better
  16. K

    $100 oil only months away

    That's true but only in case US$ is strong for now everybody pays the same price as 3 years ago except US because of the super weak US$ in this case US demand be destroyed as soon as oil countries will refuse to accept US$ and developing countires will enjoy lower prices not US
  17. K

    IB EFP. what IB doesn't tell you about.

    Maybe someone from IB or other participants can explain what happened but for it doesn't look good now IB advertises their EFP program as a way to earn some additional interest for your spare cash I decided to put my spare cash by selling EFPs as IB advices I chose 3 stocks GOOG, SNDK...
  18. K

    $100 oil only months away

    US must cut its consumption dramatically. Not energy but overall All this consumer economy benefits only China, India, Russia etc. Russian begged for 5 bln in 1998 from IMF now they have reserve around half of trillion If they want they can destroy US economy within a week even without...
  19. K

    Where will the ES close today???

    today 1560 1700 by the next friday
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