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aren't trendlines / supports / resistances ALSO derivatives of past price action? You can determine a high or low only <i>after</i> it has occured.

Its the other way round today. Oil down and DUG is also down by more than 1%. What gives?

there are only two kinds of theories: those which are wrong; and those which have yet to be proven wrong. remember this my friend.

My question does not imply that I believe in non-random markets. I was merely trying to question his initial hypothesis. To list the ways to profit from randomness, you must first assume the market is random. What if the market is non-random; or alternates between random and non-random...

Which broker do you use? Think or Swim?

What if your initial assumption is incorrect? ie. the market is <i>not</i> random? Try challenging your own preconceptions and formulate WHAT IF scenarios and back-up plans. You might not need them, but then again, you might do.

trying telling this to all the quants in the business :D

no. actually i don't think you are fooling around. its makes perfect sense. i had not approached my previous reasoning with percentage terms.

could you kindly explain how you came up with this number? According to logic, if an index falls to zero, the inverse fund on said index cannot appreciate anymore in value..

Assuming the underlying can only go to zero, how could one go about calculating the maximum NAV of a double short etf?

Its still a bull in my books.. just go for SDS, QID or DXD :p

IMO its not worth fighting for the pennies. The big money is made on the main trends. I guess its just like life, you need to learn to go with the flow. The main problem which I find with a simple rule-based discretionary trading method is controlling one's own state of mind. Your mind starts...

bump

I'm talking about stuff like moving averages and position sizing.. how complex can that get?

Can it be possible for one to find an indicator or trading edge that is ridiculously simple? Over the last year I have been expermenting with various strategies and have come to the conclusion that the higher the time frame, less frequent trading, and really simple indicators go a long way...

37 views.. yet no one knows how to calculate this indicator?

I'm trying to construct these bars with excel. I'm having a problem calculating the FIRST bar in a series though. How do you come up with the OHLC values for the FIRST bar if you don't have a previous bar for reference? The formula for Heiken Ashi is as follows: xClose =...

lol. funny how you substituted "God" for "GROB" and "scenes" for "trades". The underlying moral is the same though. That anonymous text "Footprints in the sand" is one of the best written analogies regarding life that I have come across. Cheers.

OK. And do you mind sharing that "term" with us? Thanks in advance.

The movie seems like an ideal way of making real problems seem like fiction to the general public. The average joe will end up believing that this whole subprime and debt crisis is probably a hoax in the first place. <i>The term "conspiracy theory" is itself the object of a type of...