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yes..if you sold the put and then bought a call, you have a synthetic long...

Manin: www.com-trades.blogspot.com Its free, nothing for me to gain, just hope to generate discussion on commodities and try to give a little back... BTW: Feb Live/Belly trade coming back into attractive levels...may try to get into this one again...

Manin: I do not really look at time too much on the spreads, some of them take time, (grain, cotton calendar spreads), while some of the inter-markets can move fairly quickly. The only time constraint I do put on them is I will exit before first notice day. Also, today shorted the Feb hogs...

blog is back up and running after technical difficulties (couldn't upload a damn thing!). Better charts, better analysis, same markets....check it out and leave me your thoughts... www.com-trades.blogspot.com

Correct...the '08 crop was my last. No, I don't see this as long term bullish. I do think that commodities will rebound, but the reason I am done farming is because of the cost of inputs vs. price of grain....looking very similar to what happened late 70's and mid 80's. My parents and...

cotton fundamentals still very bearish....I'm looking at spreading...but spreading March/Dec 09. leave it for a few weeks, then exit, then maybe....MAYBE dabble long...

damn..still can't get charts to post...

Jan Lumber putting in a nice diamond pattern...got out of all my longs last week, tried to sell some more today, looking for a breakdown with a tight stop. Chart below.

I only trade short term, so I'm not "qualified" to answer 1-3, but as far as number 4 goes, I am qualified, as for the past few years I have invested in farmland, renting land and getting it custom farmed in addition to trading. After the last of the milo is out next week, my farming investment...

You are correct...thats why I said taking a shot...not expecting much, but should get a bounce off of 900, may just be a little scalp daytrade though. I like your LC at 91.50, thats why I covered my short, although I'm not quite brave enough to be long, cash trade should come in lower this...

hmm Shaqi...I took the other side of that one...short SBH9 at 11.80 Also, covered short Dec. LC position today at 91.70 Taking a shot long on Jan Beans at 905.00

Shaqi: I'm now watching the March contract. Just hit 42.50, and I'm showing some long term support at 40-42.5, so I may try a small long position, but likely just a quarter size position, as it doesn't look like the equity markets will help it out any, and even if it hits support, it may just...

Manin: You may get your chance, the Feb hogs posted a nice little reversal bar on Friday. I may take a shot on a long trade there, even though its counter-seasonal...R/R is just too appealing not to. Not quite sure what you mean on your seasonal trade question...what "window" are you...

Just curious if there are any free or low cost analytics programs for options on futures (mostly the ags...grains, meats, softs). I have seen programs like OptionsOracle, or the ones on the TOS platform, but those are just for stocks. Currently paying DTN $75 per month for analytics, but...

exited my Feb/June hog spread today, picked up a quick 1.00. Not bad for a two day / counter-seasonal trade, so I'm taking my money and leaving. Also sold the remaining portion of my Jan lumber today at 202.00 I also daytrade the ES a little, and am thinking we turn back lower there, so I'm...

wise man my ass! lol...took a LOT of BIG mistakes to get to where I even remotely have an idea of what I'm doing! LOL... I'm looking to buy soymeal again soon, same with corn and March Beans...ALMOST dipped my toe in today, but equity mkts still look weak and the dollar may be trying to head...

Thin...if you're going to trade after RTH, stick to live cattle or lean hogs, nearby month only, unless dealing with limit orders that you carry over from the pit session. I have gotten limit orders filled on the Globex that didn't get hit in the pit the next day, but just keep size small and...

Manin: You are correct, the seasonal trade is shaping up for buying this spread...I'm just thinking it heads a bit lower from here, these are historical highs here, but I'm also not playing it with size, only a 5 lot, and with a tight stop. As far as recommended spreads, personally I have...

Ok...this is completely against the seasonal trade, but today I bought the Feb/June lean hog spread. Bought it at -18.65 Bought the Feb at 61.35 and sold the June at 80.00 My thinking is that this spread is just a bit overextended...looking back I don't think I've ever seen it this...

depending on which ag products you trade, options can either be used very effectively, or can just be a pain in the ass. Right now IV is high in the commodities just as it is in the stock market, and has been high since last winter, so I've almost taken the approach of just selling options...