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    The long overdue thread on...Timothy Sykes!

    Lmao what a grift.
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    Actual data supporting no use of stop losses

    Mainly the underlying, at about 80/20 split. But stop loss on options makes even less sense IMO. When I look at my option book, I calculate the beta adjusted delta values and see that as part of my total portfolio risk (with position limits etc.). When I look at single position risk I combine...
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    Actual data supporting no use of stop losses

    I manage positions by establishing clear risk limits at the portfolio level, e.g. no single position greater than 8% on a beta adjusted basis, needs a certain ADV threshold, total portfolio net exposure limits, etc. If I'm betting on an outcome and am wrong, then I realize a loss - yes. Most...
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    Actual data supporting no use of stop losses

    A stop loss isn’t a risk management strategy, it’s an exit execution strategy where you pay (excessively) for liquidity. To manage risk you need to think about what your strategy is trying to do and then design some rules around that.
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    Tesla 2024

    This is already known. Most of their competitors do the same. What you don’t seem to know is that their profit margins are being squeezed and we’re entering a new normal where Chinese EVs are far cheaper yet at similar feature parity. A note from Wells recently:
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    Tesla 2024

    If TSLA performs like a regular EV firm then it should be valued as one, right? Why should it deserve a premium to peers if it’s not delivering better results? I’m not saying that Elon and Tesla did a fantastic job of growing output and deliveries over the past five years. But stocks are...
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    Tesla 2024

    PS: I see you @SunTrader .. good work on debating the thesis. The stock will go to where valuation is appropriate for growth. No charts needed. :D:p:thumbsup:
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    Tesla 2024

    Sure, but the point is deliveries are declining.
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    Tesla 2024

    You don’t see the white line showing estimates at 530k+ last year to the actual print of 386k? Xiaomi posted orders of 100k when they launched … you can blame the sector all you want but $TSLA is the one trading at a premium to peers. Expectations clearly out of line and we’ll see another spate...
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    Tesla 2024

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    Tesla 2024

    TSLA has significant risk.. their deliveries were almost 200k below estimates. They're getting smoked in China and if Chinese EVs can expand to Euro area, it's hard to see TSLA retaining market share. Mexico plant is delayed too, so lower volumes and squeezed margins. $100 in sight? Elon has...
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    Bullshit

    I agree, TA doesn't work at all. :D
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    Option Payoff Excel Tutorial

    @Quanto you don’t seem to understand what @FSU is saying lol. While these options calculators in excel are “helpful” for new options traders, they shouldn’t be relied on for actual analysis as their assumptions can lead to significant divergence from reality.
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    Where exactly do earnings get reported?

    It comes out in a press release, filed as an 8-k with the SEC. As @vanzandt pointed out, the IR website is typically one of the better places to get it.
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    I told you guys...closing positions for a loss is for fools.

    Ok now do this with Enron stock.
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    Fibs don't work

    I regret to inform you that you simply don’t know what you’re talking about.
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    Fibs don't work

    You literally don't get what you're saying. If everyone knows your edge then the price of the asset has already adjusted to incorporate it. The information has diffused.
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    Fibs don't work

    What? :banghead::banghead::banghead: The opposite is true -- the more people that know of your edge less it works.
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    Fibs don't work

    What's your YTD pnl and sharpe?
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    What are your favorite low risk strategies to use?

    Ideally to carry through a period, e.g. in between quarters, with a high sharpe ratio. Tempted to sell and/or cover everything I'm in now and just sit for the rest of the quarter. Come forth with your ideas, elite traders.
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