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Martinghoul's mentioning of PRDC rings a bell, I remember a ML or MS article on it when it first went negative last Fall. I probably still have the article at work, if you want me to get it, scan it, and send...let me know. I'll explain to you another reason, the one that was explained to...

I work at a real money firm for my day job, not a trader but I deal with them daily. I would eat my hat if they even knew of this site, at least the ones for the markets I cover.

If you get a raise after a year, you just found out the hard way that you been paying for inflated goods with a steady income for a year, and now you are just playing catchup...Sucked didn't it...and that was only a year...repeat that for 10 years.

Is that honestly what you think? Why can't we place blame on the deserving ones...executive management, and the boards of directors that stand by. If you want to blame government for something that is actually their fault, then do so for spending. AIG sucked not because of Bush, or Obama...

Well I think this is not a recovery at all. So you would probably put me in the bear camp. But wouldn't you know it, I've been long for over a year. How did it work out for me? Hmm anywhere from 3-4 times better than S&P not to mention benefits from holding something other than USD...

Well I don't count myself as one to call top or bottom, but I do know enough to call out statements which the author tries to make them sound as facts. Falsehood #1) "theres 6 mil more unemployed." 15.4 million unemployed in November 09 - 7.5 million unemployed December 07 = 7.9...only 2...

You can't sell a Treasury bond unless you own it. At least, you can't as a retail trader. Large institutions can...it's called the repo market. Google it, even though it's often overlooked it's extremely important in finance.

Not to pick a bone ;) but... the Yuan is pegged to the USD. Devaluation of the dollar doesn't impact US / China Trade, at least while the peg is in place.

For netting purposes, use min-profit / max-loss to minimize tax exposure, and keep as much unrealized gains as possible.

Yes but my post was aimed more at the divergence in correlation after Fed purchase program has ended.

niceneasy is right, you both need to chill. Unfunded obligations are just that...unfunded. Meaning as those obligations come due they will need to be funded, either with 1) taxes, 2) external debt funding, 3) or printing. Also of note is that these unfunded obligation totals are based...

Interesting how things turned out, it's not the end of the year yet and ZN is at 121-13+ ^_^ And the stock market is up from this post a few months back. 122-128 doesn't seem so unrealistic anymore after all.

My pleasure. I have some others at work, they are hard copies though. I'll take a peek tomorrow see if there are any pertinent.

I've been trying to hunt this article down for almost two weeks. "The Q2 Flow of Funds Report published by the Federal Reserve revealed that the Federal Reserve purchased as much as half of the newly issued treasuries in the second quarter.14 This means that the Federal Reserve isn’t...

That statement is very suspicious to me. You see I review and process trades at my day job for an institution managing and hedging 100's of billions of dollars. Our statements are just about 40 pages long at each broker.

When there is a flight to quality, everyone pours into UST's the USD strengthens because everyone needs the $ before they can buy the UST. As the economy improves, there are these little fluctuations where you see investors move into more risk, UST sell off and the USD declines. The...

This was my first thought, then I skipped the rest of the post and went straight to the responses.

The currency is irrelevant to the question - USD/EUR. But, I can see based on how you answered/misdirected both questions to see what you are trying to say. You are trying to say that most people don't want do do work for a living, and try and trade whatever meager savings they have into a...

The best part about this thread is how everyone tries to bust out some math and show everyone how they little the know about the science. Who says forums can't be educational! Question 1) If your account starts at 10k and you make a 0.5% profit on their account value at the beginning of...

Well if you want leverage on single names there's always the option market. And if you want to be levered in something else there is always futures :)