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  1. E

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Bullish engulfing pattern yesterday on 30 years US yields. Is it the decisive movement for area 4%?
  2. E

    Why did Japan say they want 2% inflation when they are panicking with 10y bonds @ 1%?

    Not very exciting news for the Japanese economy : http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/08/12/markets-forex-idUSL4N0GC0N820130812 Another devaluation of Jpy will be necessary.
  3. E

    But what about copper ?

    Max 340 in May and 200-days moving average, the copper will hardly exceed these resistances at the first attempt.
  4. E

    AUD/USD and Gold

    And let's not forget that August is one of the worst months of the year for the Aussie, so I would take advantage of this rebound to lighten up and then back long in September.
  5. E

    But what about copper ?

    Well, it seems to me that the two trends are very similar to each other. Shangai and copper have experienced similar stories so far, but it may also be that with the move towards a Chinese consumption economy, the correlation tends to be less strong in the coming years.
  6. E

    AUD/USD and Gold

    Trading is exclusively a game of probabilities. We must commit ourselves to seek the right information, but we are still talking of probabilities...
  7. E

    But what about copper ?

    It’s clear that the market is short of copper because it has very negative expectations about China, but if these are resized then Dr Copper will be back.
  8. E

    AUD/USD and Gold

    I think that the behavioral analysis is as valid as the technical one, and knowing that all speculators are on the same side is worth more than any other oversold oscillator.
  9. E

    Why did Japan say they want 2% inflation when they are panicking with 10y bonds @ 1%?

    An article on this subject: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-08-08/bnp-warns-japanese-bonds-have-lost-their-ability-price-risk
  10. E

    AUD/USD and Gold

    Correct. The situation of the Aussie was perfect according to the contrarian to enter long. The graph shows what happens when the short Aud of the hedge fund is too high ..
  11. E

    AUD/USD and Gold

    It’s pretty obvious that we should have seen a primary bottom for Aud. The excessively negative sentiment causes strong rebounds like the one of today, due to the first positive news for Aud (see China export).
  12. E

    How to trade the EUR now

    Daily and hourly oscillators towards the overbought. Try the short on EurUsd close to 1.34.
  13. E

    AUD/USD and Gold

    The poor quarterly of AngloGold (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-08-07/anglogold-reports-loss-and-suspends-dividend-as-bullion-tumbles.html) tells us something very important. Below the level of 900 the company will be forced to suspend the extraction of gold: is it going to be the support...
  14. E

    Ichimoku Trading

    Long opportunity on EurJpy?
  15. E

    When will the China bubble pop?

    While we are focused on China, we do not pay the due attention to India: Rupee is out of control and the yield curve is inverted.
  16. E

    Ichimoku Trading

    Weekly support for the Dollar Index.
  17. E

    Why did Japan say they want 2% inflation when they are panicking with 10y bonds @ 1%?

    Things you do to increase inflation: http://www.japantoday.com/category/politics/view/japan-says-gdp-growth-could-slow-to-1-after-sales-tax-hike
  18. E

    Ichimoku Trading

    Great reaction on the support for EurSek.
  19. E

    But what about copper ?

    It 'obvious that the price of copper at the moment is only serving a Chinese soft landing, but in case of a crisis of emerging countries (India?), then the supports that have been sustaining the price for several months would definitely be violated.
  20. E

    AUD/USD and Gold

    Such a negative sentiment from Aud on the Cot Report never occurred even in 2008. It’s evident that the trend has changed, but now the chances of a rebound are quite high.
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