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    gambling on NBG

    what I was thinking is: the market may already factor in those unfavorable things. contrary trading. reward is good if those unfavoroble things are removed!
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    gambling on NBG

    greece' polotics is not stable. buy some NBG call Nov. anyone gambles on NBG
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    What was the ***last*** thing you had to master before becoming profitable?

    when I stop searching the holy grail. when I start to realize the ideas I have are the grestest, the stargeties I use is the most useful. I stop GNERALIZTION from my experience, when I know I can survive the game without need of polishing my skills. I will not treat each trade...
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    Long time commodity options trader looking for some help/advice.

    when I read your story, I know you are broken. stop trading immediately. the only way to trade successfully is DO IT. options are best suitable for small retail traders,in my view. small retail traders do not have sufficent capital, or undercapialiized. so they need LEVERAGE, the...
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    Is there anything other than TA and Fundamentals?

    I agree. the reasons are not irrevlant. do it is critical. when we drive a car,we donot ask why the car does the move, we drive it, we are drivers. happy trading! sad analyst!
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    Is there anything other than TA and Fundamentals?

    TA is free. just like Tips. TA is so scientific, that is why attracts so many suckers. the market is practical. just like everyone eats, some eat meat lot, some not, but still thin and healthy.while some eat meat lot, but they are fat and unhealthy. from this observation, you can not...
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    CREE- a short to 52.50 area

    why cut short so short? CREE has more room to free fall. I tried to short it too, the gap down really a good sign+nice up trend before, that setup is perfect. lots of longs are trapped by the nice trend beforethe gap down. good short sale candidate. I bought some puts. drop too slow, my put...
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    DRYS 1.5 strike call

    I added some in the morning dip (buy low in an up trend, common sense again)
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    DRYS 1.5 strike call

    that means DRYS will shoot higher. be patient. look, my call almost doubled. that is just the start of the trend! begineers often book profit just before things take off, afraid of drop. DRYS is undervalued. plus technically it is good buy. common sense often prevails.
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    DRYS 1.5 strike call

    It does not matter. I bought itthurdays, sold it at0.6+, just too early. at closing, I bought this week's 40 call. FB is hot. but I know drys will fly in next couple months.it will be hot. will have great opportunities. my DRYS call was bought at 0.5+~0.65, now it is at 0.85+. just give...
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    DRYS 1.5 strike call

    here is FB's call traded today.
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    DRYS 1.5 strike call

    china/euro including U.s. is booming. shipping should be positive. there is almost no time decay. since the premium is very close to the market. it is in my retirement account, I need hold it a little bit long using some leverage. when it jumps to 2.55+, my calls will be doubled.
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    DRYS 1.5 strike call

    anyone in the DRYS call. I am adding DRYS 1.5 strike call Septem/Oct. trade small lot 2.0 strike call. DRYS looks good, the trend is going to change.
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    why ZT drops almost nothing,ZB larger

    after I read through many documents. I now clear about the picture of treasures. how they work,how they create liqidity. so far, the fed funds rate is nominally zero. but the inter-bank overnight borrowing rate is the fed's effective rate, the last resort is go to fed for borrowing (the...
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    Marty Schwartz at Amherst College, Spring 2013

    a side note: those who can swim often drowned first in the most beautiful currents!
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    Marty Schwartz at Amherst College, Spring 2013

    tell me what martin's melesa Ptr. option trade's TA. he basically said to himself " I want to buy at what price..." what he belive is the market will go up,it is cheap now. I am a successful trader. I use common sense to trade. not TA to trade. I read though Martin's pit bull...
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    Marty Schwartz at Amherst College, Spring 2013

    martin schwartz did not use TA only. martin lost almost one milion to short Republic election. based on TA, he should buy, the market was rallying hard/bullrunning. Fundementally he thought the market is overbought, plus he played his emotions. Martin picked bottom of S&P 500, and the...
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    why ZT drops almost nothing,ZB larger

    it makes the yild curve sharp up. did not get it. what is the market's point? ZT last time dropped to 109'247, then bounced to normal level. ZB already broke through old low. 2yrs note's rate is just 0.37%, like give momey for you to play! if someone wants me to lend, atleast charge...
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    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    too early, I am selling ZT/ZF. 2/5 yrs note rate is rediculously low, just 0.37%, 0.67%. will keep eye on ZB(seems not good for short), will buy when it hits 4.3%+ ~4.8%. normally the market will overract, so it is safe to short, the rate may finally print 5%,6%, even 7%,8%.market is...
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    1.2% yield correspond to what 2yrs not price

    when I go through department of treasure, study yield curve and historical data, I reazlied rate is ridiculously low. 2yrs note once was normally around 3.5% to 5.8%. but now it is just around 0.37%. anyone has idea about what 2yrs note's price would be if rate jumps to 1.2% (I believe...
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