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  1. Real Money

    What are some tips to reduce execution mistakes for day traders?

    You can use hotkeys. You can bind keys to post limit/market orders, stop orders, stop limit orders, MIT, and even cancel orders. I have a key that will liquidate all positions, no matter what they are. You can have hotkeys to send an order with a stop attached. You can have keys for many...
  2. Real Money

    Options only to understand us securities

    I trade rate and index futures and spreads. No options, even though I have more than 100k brokerage. I did a lot of reading and studying -- options trading, market making, microstructure, quant finance, statistics, banking, finance, economics, etc. I have a degree in mathematics. I can program...
  3. Real Money

    Peter Schiff: The Bank Of England Rings The Mother Of All Bells

    Word on the street is that BlackRock threatened to not price one of the total return ETFs because debt was likely to trade at distressed levels absent bank intervention. Solvency issues for some major players in the form of an inability to meet regulated capital requirements on the day. Pension...
  4. Real Money

    Riddle me this TR2TR vs TR10Y

    Bills and notes are more sensitive to changes in interest rates and economic release data than further dated maturities. You can hedge short term rate risk by buying rate exposure further out, so you can hedge 2s with 10s. Interest rate exposure is hedged by shorting rate futures or selling...
  5. Real Money

    Your Trading style: Careful TA, or spray n pray/law of large numbers?

    Cross-hedged. But also quant models and VWAP. I always make sure to know what the yield curve is doing. The rates market is the most important thing to know.
  6. Real Money

    Will the Fed Buckle Under Wall Street's Pressure?

    Fed is 100% culpable for this and the Biden profligacy only hastened the day of reckoning. Many people have been waiting they're entire lives for this shit to finally happen. Waiting for a long ass time. Decades of easy money, ZIRP, and retarded ass housing policy across the entire western...
  7. Real Money

    I keep cutting my winners

    I think this comes down to size. How much profit is a small winner for you? How many basis points of return on your account we talking about? How often do you get 'good setups' for a trade? How long are these (and your typical) holds? Success rate on a trade?
  8. Real Money

    Inverse vol. correlation

    If you just mean to look at vols of one asset to be relationally larger (smaller) than a related asset, that is common. High beta against lower beta will give you exposure to a volatility differential. Duration risk against nearer term will do the same for rate risk. For two assets to have...
  9. Real Money

    Which product do you use to watch 2y yield?

    Front month ZT (price not yield)
  10. Real Money

    Futures vs Options

    I don't know anything about options margining and clearing. But you guys are missing a couple key points here... SPAN Margin (Mark-to-Market in real-time by your FCM) Performance Bond Offsets for Correlated Products (Margin Discounts) This means that you can take opposing risks (Futures...
  11. Real Money

    Advice on how I should Raise Trading Capital?

    Honestly, and I'm not trying to be a jerk here. But, if you blew 140k 'buying options' you don't really have any business looking for more money from elsewhere to trade with. You're a failed trader. Markets are unforgiving and there's a million ways to lose. My trading isn't exactly going so...
  12. Real Money

    OK, who is going to lie and say they saw today's HUGE drop in the charts?

    IMO, the rally was pure bullshit and manipulation 100%. The action was in the rates market. They were sizing into duration against the front end (long the inversion trade). When the hot print came in the short end got hammered and the spread blew out. Easy money for the real pros.
  13. Real Money

    POST Some CHART Images in THUMBNAIL Format Right Here, Baby.

    Short from the open Monday (line was actually basis against hedge profits).
  14. Real Money

    Cointegrated pair

    Pairs of what? Stocks, index futures, rates, ETFs, EM, commodities... It's surprising you ask for advice and don't even specify any details. Don't even know if it's a time spread or cross-hedged position. It could be any of a million different trades...
  15. Real Money

    USDJPY set up ideas and trades

    It's not just yen. Check PHP, THB, KRW. The PBOC yuan fix came in just under the 7 handle (Bloomberg said 450 BIPS ... lol) I have models that can trade FX but its touch and go, minute by minute stuff. Yen futures are crazy bearish. (white line is futures VWAP)
  16. Real Money

    USDJPY set up ideas and trades

    Rate differentials driving a carry trade. Yields on the US tens vs JGB tens will cause liquidation of JGB and then Kuroda vowing to protect the rate just encourages the carry. This trade is levered to the moon right now. I really wonder what happens to markets if this thing comes unhinged.
  17. Real Money

    POST Some CHART Images in THUMBNAIL Format Right Here, Baby.

    Good coverage with listed ETFs on the Eurozone beatdown...
  18. Real Money

    POST Some CHART Images in THUMBNAIL Format Right Here, Baby.

    ES just dropped 100 points from 5am eastern. Place your bets, gentlemen, place your bets.
  19. Real Money

    POST Some CHART Images in THUMBNAIL Format Right Here, Baby.

    You bullish? Seems like the bears starting to sweat.
  20. Real Money

    POST Some CHART Images in THUMBNAIL Format Right Here, Baby.

    https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/equities/international-indices/nikkei-225-dollar.html
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