I believe that the dollar will strengthen only for a bet of the market at the end of the QE (in fact gold and bonds have fallen) and this is logical. But why is the stock market not falling??
Here, at last, we can find an early sign. Bearish head and shoulder with 1.2950 as target: achieved. The weekly bearish engulfing pattern is another indication of the strength of the U.S. dollar
The week ended with a hanging man. Same thing three weeks ago. The pressure of the sellers is very strong and seems to herald a downside. Of course if EurUsd will exceed 1.325, there will be many stop loss.
Again no clear technical signals on EurUsd also in the weekly closure. If the cut of the short moving average on the long one will occur, then we will get the expected short signal of the medium period.