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What makes you think the average hedge fund is the smart money? Seriously. They don't perform well. Few are respected on Wall Street. Many are guys in their basements selling whatever strategy they can find clients to pay them for. I'm honestly curious what data you have that leads you to...

Matt?? In that movie? He was simply quoting Virgil.

Insufficient investment in capacity. The left said they were going to make it difficult for companies in the oil and coal value chain. The right agrees that they have. They are in rare agreement.

lol. Ninja is not going to tell you how this really works the way I did. It's not because they are hiding something. They just don't know/care because efficient order execution is not what their customers want to pay for. You are looking for a source that you feel is reliable so you can...

Is this priced in dollars or rubles? The ruble has be Is this priced in dollars or rubles? The ruble has been quite strong.

You are probably also aware that over fitting is your biggest challenge. Ninja Trader is simply doing linear regression. It's like the guy who has a hammer and thinks everything is fixed but hitting it with his hammer. Drawing a straight line through a cloud of data points is important...

It's not your modeling software that is causing that. It's a misunderstanding about what a trade price represents. You don't get to buy or sell at the last trade price. Over a large dataset you will always find the slippage moves against you. For highly liquid stocks the percentage is small...

Google says that is the Russia stock exchange. It's very hard to evaluate the risk of Russia simply keeping my money. What cost have you placed on that risk?

The page you linked is just indicating that getting orders filled is a whole other challenge. Fills are complex and the place where I spend most of my strategy development and coding time. This isn't a flaw or an accuracy issue at all. It's just how markets work. If you want to buy/sell a...

No, it's not. But context is important. If by hard you mean that learning to code and do math is hard then maybe you are right. I do this stuff for fun as my retirement job. It's way easier and less stressful than the serious engineering work I used to do. So it's all relative. But I get...

This is simply untrue. lol. Two things are certain about trading, 1) You can make good money, and 2) You must figure things out yourself.

No. Who gives away the development of their trading strategies? Keep them on your own computer. Anything that works will be copied.

For most stocks I believe you want the EOD auction price. Here is an explanation of how this works at NASDAQ. https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/content/productsservices/Trading/ClosingCrossfaq.pdf

You won't win any elections with that sort of clear thinking. Just sayin'.

So the question is: Do we expect the accelerating defaults to be more expensive than the revenue from the loans?

MAIN, ORCC and FSK don't hold any of that. They hold the debt of mostly small to medium sized private companies. I'm looking for some opinions on how higher interest rates will impact default rates on that sort of debt since it is almost all adjustable.

What is your opinion on the overall performance of debt rated BBB- or lower during a period of rising interest rates? I'm thinking about MAIN, ORCC and FSK. On the one hand they have adjustable rate debt. On the other hand they will almost certainly see more of it defaulting. How does it...

This is not true. They don't have some magic source for energy. Making people pay for it in other ways so they only see a 4% increase on their power bill does not change that.

Some small hedge funds are going to blow themselves up on this arbitrage. They'll get in and go too far out on a limb of low liquidity. The apes will take their gambling tokens and crush them once they figure out what is happening. The setup will be right in the SEC form 13F's. A theatre...

ok, but that's not the correct measure of the data as it stands now. People are clearly using AMC as a gambling token. If data showing that will change makes itself clear then we should re-evaluate.