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  1. W

    collective2

    OddTrader, you put that confused smiley in many (most?) of your posts. Is that your signature or are you really confused most of the time? :eek:
  2. W

    spam is profitable.

    It was up to $750,000 per month not total. "Prosecutors said Jaynes made millions of dollars from the illegal venture."
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    Are all trading courses scams?

    You can teach someone how to get a "big dong"?!? :confused: This thread keeps getting better and better. And actually I would think that the hookers would prefer guys with more normal sized implements than a foot long one but that's a tangent we probably don't want to go down.
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    Are all trading courses scams?

    How is that an appropriate analogy unless the question was "can you learn to be the one of the top 1% traders in the world by taking a course"? Even then playing a piano is nothing like trading (as ProfLogic said). There are many things that are difficult to learn by taking a course and...
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    path to outlook express mail

    http://www.google.com/search?sourceid=navclient&ie=UTF-8&rls=GGLD,GGLD:2004-45,GGLD:en&q=outlook+express+recovery
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    Automated trading through Excel

    They aren't the same thing. COM is generic (Microsoft) software interface specification (http://www.microsoft.com/com/). FIX is standardized way of interfacing with a broker: http://www.fixprotocol.org/ "The Financial Information eXchange (FIX) protocol is a messaging standard developed...
  7. W

    Is data mining for trading patterns impossible?

    Great discussion. I took a look at the OpenMind site, very interesting but I don't see any applicability in its present form to system development. Its still very primative and what they are trying to accomplish is to just get the program to understand common sense ideas that humans take for...
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    trend following delusion shattered

    NickelScalper, just to get some clarity because I see a lot of people getting hung up about d. Is it correct that you are not asking for the value d, but for a method of predicting future price action such that a profitable trade can be taken (where d is minimum price move that is "worth"...
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    trend following delusion shattered

    Having made the mistake of subscribing to this thread and consequently reading every post in it, I have noticed that while the OP may be stubborn (putting it kindly) he is also calm and reasonably polite. This is in contrast to certain folks that have taken to using obscenities and launching...
  10. W

    trend following delusion shattered

    We can't predict the path of a hurricane with any certainty either (yet) but that doesn't mean that the NWS doesn't provide a useful service by projecting potential storm tracks with different probabilities.
  11. W

    trend following delusion shattered

    Actually that is NOT what you said, let me refresh your memory: Astute observers will notice that words Probable and Probably do not appear anywhere in that quote which is the entire post where you made the prediction, unedited. As to your latest backpeddling, I have no idea what "probable...
  12. W

    trend following delusion shattered

    First your statement above is just incorrect but regardless I never concluded anything based on your one prediction. I did not believe your 90% accuracy claim when you made it. Its not a "conclusion", its my belief. The fact is anyone can make vague "predictions" and then make most of them...
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    trend following delusion shattered

    ProfLogic or Whiskey or whatever your name is, I do not require anything other than a price chart of ES between 11:17 and 12:17 to validate spike's prediction. Please do not misunderstand me. I am not a trend naysayer, I believe that trends do exists and can be exploited for profit...
  14. W

    trend following delusion shattered

    Your assumption is incorrect. For the price at the end of the hour to equal the price at the start that means that there were as many ticks up as there were down. To see a "short trend" in such a period requires a bias. Interesting, so you are claiming because it was *possible* to get an exit...
  15. W

    trend following delusion shattered

    Let's see, started at 1195, ended at 1195....hmm, I'd have to say that someone could have made the same profits either long or short during that period, it all depended on the entry and exits. Of course when you start talking about things that weren't in the original prediction, like where...
  16. W

    trend following delusion shattered

    Anyone could have called the same one hour period a long trend and by "scaling-in" and dynamically updating the prediction made money too. A prediction that does not stand on its own but has to be explained after the fact isnt worth very much. The fact that you had the nerve to come back...
  17. W

    trend following delusion shattered

    A simple yes/no will suffice - are you saying that the one hour period in question represents a short trend by your definition?
  18. W

    trend following delusion shattered

    At 11:17 ESM5 was at 1195 At 12:17 ESM5 was at 1195 At 13:17 ESM5 was at 1196 This is what a short trend looks like?
  19. W

    Consistently Profitable Day Traders

    Whoa there. Samson clearly said that morons can only make 3-5 million by applying themselves. :D
  20. W

    Consistently Profitable Day Traders

    So in summary, you find that daytrading is (a) hard work & stressful, (b) yields less returns than longer term investing, (c) has no advantages and yet you continue at it anyway for "fun". Uh huh. If you believed your own statements then you would not be daytrading at all (since...
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