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    ET as a Special Case of the Turing Test

    In fact in real life I have been very fortunate to gain home release monitored by ankle bracelet. That's the good news. The bad is that only the examining coroner has the authority to remove it. Thank goodness there is ET for daily human contact. And curse the on-line publication of "Criminals...
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    Backtesting and Strategy Validation - How Much is Enough?

    I trade intraday based on a very simple system. When I discovered it, I was sure that I would be rich in a few short years. Turns out I found it when the market was roaring and the expectation was about five times what it is now. But it still works for pin money. Like you, I started out with...
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    ET as a Special Case of the Turing Test

    Sorry I missed it. Are you the kind of guy who cries out "Theatre!" at a fire?
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    A Commodimetric Approach to Trading Silver

    It's different here in Norte Americano. We cut little crucifixes into our silver bullets and make them Christian dum-dums.
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    ET as a Special Case of the Turing Test

    OK. You are a machine. To be specific, an abacus. That response was very helpful. I will hedge with a cyanide capsule. My next question is: My employer and I paid $33K in Medicare taxes. Had that been invested at 5% the present value would be about $36K. I pay about $2K a year in ransom money...
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    ET as a Special Case of the Turing Test

    Here goes. My employer and I paid in $217K to Social Security over my working life. I calculate that if I live to my acturial date I will collect $333K more in benefits I should have if they had invested the taxes at 5%. In the present environment of high risk and low return, how can I hedge...
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    ET as a Special Case of the Turing Test

    No. I'm user5 in the file names. The idiot who thinks he knows TA and thinks Hulbert is an expert.
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    A Commodimetric Approach to Trading Silver

    Pure evil genius! And protection against vampire bankers!
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    A Commodimetric Approach to Trading Silver

    I am my own guru. I have no need of inferior sycophants. Silveroticism IS a treatable disorder. Sell silver and buy gold. But then if gold goes up for over twelve hours you will have to call your doctor. If you want to know the details of the algorithm you will have to loan me your Kroger card...
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    A Commodimetric Approach to Trading Silver

    I cannot overstress how important it is for you to buy silver NOW! So I have attached my current chart showing the actual algorithm pane. The "buy'' threshold is 1.00. We are at 1.01, which indicates that the opportunity is now marginal and fleeting.
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    Ive noticed this

    "Give him an enema and you could bury him in a thimble."
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    Ive noticed this

    Too true. But I suspect that in your case it reduces your losses.
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    ET as a Special Case of the Turing Test

    Over here http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?threadid=225189 the estimable Murray R. offers for FREE to teach a backtesting class. So the two class clowns, who wouldn't know a backtest from a backwipe, trash his thread so nobody else can learn what they don't know how to do. If the...
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    A Commodimetric Approach to Trading Silver

    That is certanily a tradeoff. A plastic 750 millilter bottle of Everclear weighs about a pound and a half. But the gold or even silver equivalent weight is just too dear. It's also two heater meals, so my bugout bag has only a small flask of Everclear. After all, one deserves some respite on the...
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    A Commodimetric Approach to Trading Silver

    BTW, that silver buy signal is fading fast as we jive here, so you'd better get that order locked in at APMEX. You might get lucky and never have to pay off the credit card charges.
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    A Commodimetric Approach to Trading Silver

    Which analysis begs the question, "In your absurd paranoid survivalist SHTF Zombie Apocalips scenario, how much silver should I own?" The answer obviously is, however much your wife can carry, because she sure as hell won't hump any ammo for you. I say two pounds, roughly thirty Eagles. The...
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    A Commodimetric Approach to Trading Silver

    I am. I tire of trying to teach fools. Invariably I lose them at the second question: "What is the net present value of your net assets, including expected paments from retirement sources?" "What percentage of that net present value should you hold in physical precious metals against a total...
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    Paradox?

    Their wealth is ephemeral. It is denominated in inflated fiat currencies and promised unearned retirement benefits and bloated securities valuations and sinking home prices. Compared to the potential of youth, they have no wealth. In extremis the streets will be the arbiters of value.
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    A Commodimetric Approach to Trading Silver

    I do so love this place! Here even the tannest of charlatans can attract a following! Those who don't get it may well ask, "Why should I own silver?" Let me counter with equally foolish questions: "How many guns should you own?" "How many rounds of ammunition for each should you store?" "How...
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    Paradox?

    Old folks with marginal savings will have to draw down their meagre nesteggs to survive on no interest. They will eventually eat less, stop heating and cooling their residences, stop buying their meds, and sicken and die. Thus reducing their nonproductive drain on the economy. Or not. They may...
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