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    Could you trade this profitably?

    You don't get it. You defined a trade entry condition, one half of a system. All you have to do is define an exit condition and optimize for stop loss and take profit prices.
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    A Commodimetric Approach to Trading Silver

    I should also point out that prior to February of this year, silver was always a buy. What we are seeing now is a new paradigm here you don't just want to buy and hold. Which is too much like marriage.
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    A Commodimetric Approach to Trading Silver

    I made another improvement to the presentation to make it more attractive to the credulous. The decision scale now runs from 0 to 100, with 100 being sell. Currently I have buy set at 72.75. Silver is still cheap, Dear. Later it will be dear, Cheap. Updated chart attached. When I quit posting...
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Nivver seed 'at afore. (Ah'm a brushin' up own ma 'Plachan English far a trip home.) That is a totally bizarre notion to me. When I write algorithms there are only two conditions: the pattern is thar, or 't'ain't. It would never occur to me to define the absence of signal as noise. En fait, I am...
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    So a price pattern is signal if it's tradeable and noise if it's not? Jist made a bit 'a poke salat. Moughtn't be long far t'is wurld if'n ah dun it rong.
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    Market conditions, volatility, direction

    In what currency?
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    I have a mite of a background in digital signal processing. The best engineering solution for measuring and predicting signal in a noisy environment is the Kalman filter. The theory recognizes two sources of noise: noise in the measurement process itself and noise in the signal being measured...
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    I repeat, what variables do we need? (Murray, don't bother, this horse is dead.)
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Interesting. But, shit, if I had a mil in cash I sure as shit wouldn't be trading. I be on a warm beach summers with a Hurricane IV getting my second blowjob of the morning. I don't care what the brave new world is, it is perfectly oblivious that the same old shit still goes down every day in...
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Apropos that we are approaching a retrace to the open. Stumbled and fumbled past all those Fibs and Dows Blowinski doesn't believe in.
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Hadda pop a bobcat inna ass t'other day. Nayber hadda pop a cougar. Wife says we shud feedum. Feedum whut, ah sez, yer dam cat?
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    Market conditions, volatility, direction

    Don! Down! Down!
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Thank you, Sam and Sara, I listen to classical music while I watch the market, trade or code.
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    As a reminder, here is the code structure: //retrace to open system structure //variable declarations //function declarations //set up chart parameters //backtesting code { //determine the time //initialize variables //establish trade day validity //test for time window {...
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    I have never tried it, not being an Excel wizard. The thought of the sheet sizes required is daunting. Interesting that you need to measure noise, whatever that is. I never found that to be helpfool.
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Sorry, forgot to answer the last question. The time period is one minute. The data is EasySignal OHLC. No volume or market internals or anything else. As much data as ET thinks I should. EasySignal's data goes further back than I usually care to test.
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    And as for you, your + only means that you can't think for yourself and have nothing ora-ginal to add.
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Perhaps I should concede something so we can get past it: yes, I am an arrogant prick full of overweening pride who is not nearly as smart as he thinks he is. And yes, I am using a slow old laptop running decade-old softaware on a thirty-year-old paradigm. That conceded, let us define our...
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    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Guess I'll just crawl in a hole and die, then. But before I do, let me suggest that humans code the strategy generators. And they are IMO unlikely to be looking for the absurd, the ridiculous. Also let me add that there are not hundreds of strategies to be found. So I guess those strategy...
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    Backtesting and Strategy Validation - How Much is Enough?

    This whole thread reminds me of a friend who once told me "I tried for years to learn to play guitar and could never get any good at it." One is amazed therefore that there are virtuoso guitarists.
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