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The chart below is an analysis of USA Consumer GDP. The top panel is USA Consumer portion of GDP. Data is upto 2008 Q2. My signal line, is the misery index, 4th panel down, pink line. The only time when the misery index failed to signal consumer GDP falling to ZERO or less was in the 1970s...

http://www.nasdaq.com/econoday/reports/US/EN/New_York/gdp/year/2008/yearly/07/index.html GDP Price deflator is crashing, yet CPI is not !! Please explain ????

Will the naked short selling rule, prevent decent rallies in the SKF ?? I noticed to today in the last hour it didnt move when DOW tanked !

GDP deflator will be 2%.... ha ha ha ha

Put your money in JP Morgan, this is the Fed dirty tricks bank, no way is it going bust.

Anything AAA (thats USA Banks) can be transfered to the FED. So never ! ha ha ha Taxpayer pays ! The Rest of World banks, should ask the Fed to extend there credit lines, they HAVENT SAID NO YET !!!!

What are they ? I found this lot, what else would you categorise a a must view of the GDP calc ?? Real Nonresidential Investment - is this capital expenditure ??? Real Personal Consumption Expenditures - Consumer spending, I assume Real Private Fixed Investment - dunno Real...

Very good, soon the will stop LONGs. Ooops, they have done that cause that's called privatisation or(govt owned enterprises).

Consumer lead recession comingor hear ...BUY SKF Chart from : http://www.NowAndTheFuture.com This chart UPDATED with YOY% housing change. Notice current levels are just equal with 1930s, and 2008/09 have yet to peak, oooouch !

Did we all BUY SKF today, after the suckers rally in financials ! Up $13++

http://www.pimco.com/LeftNav/Featured+Market+Commentary/IO/2008/Investment+Outlook+Bill+Gross+Mooooooo+August+2008.htm ..."For now, investors should remain in high quality assets – until – until, well…until the prospect for home prices points skyward or until the cows come home...

This is the misery index with the adjustment for change in house values, and using the three inflation calculations... With the house adjustements, it would be higher. Consumer lead recession comingor hear ...BUY SKF Chart from : http://www.NowAndTheFuture.com

Check out Misery index with Stocks, I submit the 1968/1974 reaction maybe the 2008 reaction. The 1980 reaction was mild, maybe they had no credit crunch then, dunno ! Stocks on a log scale.

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?threadid=132489 View the recently posted Misery Index, consumer lead recession on the way....

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?threadid=132489 View the Misery Index, thats why its foolish to be long financials.

The misery index would be over 20 if the 1983 inflation formula was used. That would make the current situation the worst since WW2, and it is not over yet. Do you really want to be LONG FINANCIALS. This calculation (ie Misery Index above) says that a CONSUMER LEAD RECESSION IS DAWNING ...

From my new membership at http://www.economagic.com/ Here is a picture of how the USA consumer is feeling at the moment. Formula: Inflation plus Unemployment less Rate of Change of House value As you can see from the most recent reading it is as high as any of the previous recessions...

http://thinkprogress.org/2008/07/11/former-cheney-adviser-the-odds-of-israel-attacking-iran-are-slightly-slightly-above-50-50/ Just maybe, Financials are on the rally because this attack is days away. And any stock fall is trying to be setup as not so bad, as price is higher ! Dunno Na...

BNN Appearance: Shorts, Bounces & Banks Posted by Barry Ritholtz on Tuesday, July 22, 2008 | 02:00 PM http://bigpicture.typepad.com/ For comments on BAC earnings.

Funny how after hours futures ES was down 10 handles after AMEX bad news, then way before market opens the ES becomes positive and rallies on BAC (fudged) better than expected earnings ! SEC must be on holiday ???