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    What is the most statistically predictable Option strategy?

    I like to know how SPX trades over all sorts of scenarios. For example, today SPX is up 1%. I have set up my spreadsheet so I can see how SPX has moved any time period after a 1% up day. Here is how it has moved since Sep 1, 2014 the day after any 1% up day: http://screencast.com/t/nFTuKrzGI...
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    Buying back short leg

    Yes, for intra-day trades I will use a 2-min chart with indicators I find have a high success rate with AAPL. And I would definitely call those scalping trades. I also track the intra-day moves over many time periods so I can look for trends (such as AAPL usually opens up Monday morning)...
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    What is the most statistically predictable Option strategy?

    No, not Howard. I trade primarily SPX and AAPL. SPX as it is an index and has more protection from any bad news specific to a company. AAPL as it is the company I have traded the longest and know better than any other company. I have a similar spreadsheet for AAPL to analyze how it moves...
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    What is the most statistically predictable Option strategy?

    I just joined today and wanted to share what I do for small gain / high predictability trades. I sell SPX credit spreads (weekly and monthly) that have a high probability of success based on the actual % moves for the SPX over the time period holding and based on similar periods of volatility...
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    Buying back short leg

    I am new here, but I will do this frequently when I have a bull call spread. On a dip, buy back the short call and then sell it again on a move up. I did this with AAPL in Jan-Feb. Note I try to do this intra-day based on day-trading charts I use as I like to keep the short call hedge in...
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