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  1. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    boromir eh? :) I remember at the university where I studied CS they did the same thing, but just LOTR wouldn't be enough for the number of machines they had, so they had to tap into Silmarillion - that has enough cool names of people and places to name a sworm of nano-robots :) You don't use...
  2. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    Btw, I just checked, my system started rolling into the next Korean bond (Sept 2020) on Wednesday (fill @112.11) and sold last 2 June contracts on Thursday (June 11) @112.15. Looking at the settings for the corresponding predefined roll cycle, "SoftRoll" started on June 9, and "HardRoll" on...
  3. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    The best way to test is to test in production! :) Well, in my case, more significant changes I deploy and run first in paper-system for a while and then promote to prod - an advantage of running 2 systems in parallel - allows to test without writing any tests or doing extra work. But frankly...
  4. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    Oh, that's some unplanned work.. Yeah, every external dependency is a cost, even if the library is free :) , but sometimes there's just no other way.. Good luck, let us know how it goes..
  5. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    I see, so to simplify, the "smaller" the system the higher overlay thresholds should be (when IDM is capped).. If we use low threshold numbers on a small system it will be hitting the overlay too often. Currently I'm running 31 instruments@350k in paper and 14 instruments@100k in live, for both...
  6. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    Yeah, something like that, I actually wasn't even thinking about it this way, I just have a price-series with closing prices and dates (I don't even know on which week-days each point is taken). I then take 2 of these serieses (for the 2 instruments I need to calculate correlation for), then I...
  7. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    No problem, my pleasure, thanks! :) I don't have many unit-tests myself (my stack is C#+sql+matlab with all the real-time trading written in C#, which is at least compilable and strongly\statically-typed, which gives some error-checking, matlab is mostly for reports and graphs)., In fact I...
  8. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    Hi Rob, You finally published the risk-overlay post that you described briefly several years ago on this forum, thanks! Meanwhile I implemented it myself in my system based on your earlier descriptions., but now comparing it with your code here (https...
  9. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    Going back to the question of bargain-hunting, is it normal that when I Going back to the question of bargain-hunting, is it normal that when I'm setting all the scanner parameters as described almost all companies I'm getting are financial (banks and insurances), only 4 out of 32 are in some...
  10. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    yes, I did back-testing, that's how I selected the pairs to trade :) so of course they were all crazy-profitable in the backtest (that's why I selected them), and out of sample - not so much :) I mean I know it's overfitting, and I didn't expect them to continue to be as profitable as the best...
  11. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    Thanks @HobbyTrading I see. I'm actually also running another stock\ETF strategy on the same account, in fact I started with it. It's a pairs-trading mean reversion thing, which enters when spread between 2 related things widens on a moving average with standard deviation bands around it and...
  12. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    Yeah, maybe there is something to that "manual\discretionary trading" thing after all :) I started to watch some day-traders on youtube (quite a contagious thing) and it seems they make money.. What they do makes little sense sometimes, like one guy seems to be trading a very quick...
  13. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    there's also this screener, which has most of the parameters for free, can filter by country, though, I couldn't find "PTBV" and "Forecast div. Cover" https://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=121&f=fa_div_o4,fa_epsyoy_pos,fa_fpe_low,fa_ltdebteq_u0.5&ft=4
  14. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    there's a couple here https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/ like "Undervalued Growth Stocks", "Undervalued Large Caps" but no idea how decent they are.. Some huge oil-related companies which doped like 65%.. Also resorts and airlines, which are probably a bad idea to buy, but who knows, if...
  15. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    I'm only holding a some gold in my long-only stock-bond portfolio, should've acted as insurance, but not this time.. This time the only protection seems to be is to short something :)
  16. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    My system finally closed all V2X and MXP positions and started to make some money, currently up 10%., Biggest winners are AUD and LE. But in the long-only portfolio it's a total devastation, and it continues.. Strangely gold isn't doing it's job of hedging\insurance at all, and pretty-much keeps...
  17. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    I'm only trading oil in my paper system, but even there the position is flat right now. In PROD I switched oil to gas after the discussions here and it made 3.8k to date. Though v2x and mxp are huge losers so overall I'm still negative since start.
  18. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    So you'll have no "soft-roll" period when you opportunistically sell old and buy new contract, all "hard-roll" in one day. I guess it's simpler and simple is good.. I also found it quite tedious to pre-populate all these roll dates for 30+ instruments for the next 100 years (automated it of...
  19. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    Something good seems to be happening with long-term bonds.. I can see in my paper system both US and German are making large profits. Unfortunately I don't have any in my prod system, only short-term (don't have as much real capital as paper-money :) ) so I'm seeng my paper system making new...
  20. K

    Fully automated futures trading

    I tried to run optimisation with handcrafting, it worked when I simply defined rules, instruments and enabled estimations, but when I also added thresholding for all multiple instruments it errored-out with : raise ValueError("The condensed distance matrix must contain only " ValueError: The...
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