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  1. Stockolio

    Fed raises rates

    It's a setup, watch his Q&A with reporters... Reporters usually dick ride the theme but even they were grilling him after his, we will be more data driven from now on... Huh ? The head of the Federal Reserve said we will me more DATA DRIVEN in the future, so the gut feeling logic decision was a...
  2. Stockolio

    Fed raises rates

    Let the cycle run its natural course... Why obliterate it, only to fix/adjust it within a year, its gonna be QE again by early 2020, hes choking hard and cannot even give a clear answer besides his inflation crap which has been destroyed by many people in the economy world, its way below there 2...
  3. Stockolio

    Fed raises rates

    Watching him give his speech and I quote " We have reached the neutral rate and going forward we will be more data inclined " This is a setup! Icahn and other snakes who knew insider information in advance made the plays ahead of time... How can oil decline 29 % from October and have the...
  4. Stockolio

    Fed raises rates

    He tightened the bond market into a worldwide recession! How much of a fool can you be ? Talking about 2 rate hikes in 2019... Your cutting rates by end 2019! This started the recession, imagine the decline of oil and commodities now, emerging markets... Europe stocks and Japan stocks are gonna...
  5. Stockolio

    Interest Rate Thread

    Were fucked... Man I should of closed calls, long stock. Couldn't believe he would hike the world into a recession, the numbers do not make sense with what they did... Ahh man, lost a lot of money cause of this, I couldn't believe this was possible to be this incompetent... Recession is...
  6. Stockolio

    Fed Tightening? Not Now

    Canada and US are in much much better shape tho. It is gonna get really, and I mean really bad for countries like Japan, UK or Scandinavian countries who's interest rates are virtually 0. I looked at UK's mortgage industry rates, mortgage rates vary from 1.39 to 1.69 with good credit, where is...
  7. Stockolio

    Fed Tightening? Not Now

    The Fed data driven approach you mention is about Inflation and tightening its balance sheet without crashing the economy, with 4.5 trillion in QE they did, it equalled -300 bps, which would be 1.5 T per -100 bps, or 375 Billion per -25 bps, do you really think the US economy which is the most...
  8. Stockolio

    Interest Rate Thread

    You guys ow me one for this... Gonna roll a J and type down a very short thesis on actual rates and how the Fed's perceived actual rates are, knowing how your opponent thinks is extremely crucial in trading in my opinion. Since the last recession, due to 4.5 Trillion in QE ( according to St...
  9. Stockolio

    Interest Rate Thread

    Financial media which is an arm of certain firms, heavily pushed the December raising rates since November, given the message and agenda that has been trying to get pushed, even today reading some articles of mainstream financial media, they all type likely to raise rates... I just do not see...
  10. Stockolio

    Interest Rate Thread

    I really do not think Powell & Co have the cohones to destroy the market Wensday, I have a big call on a gold mine exp Jan 19, big position on Energy Fuels ( UUUU ) and tiny call on a company about to switch from C corp to REIT exp April 19, for my optimistic plays. I can not see why they would...
  11. Stockolio

    London post-brexit as a financial center

    No offence, but I do not think you trade, you do not seem to understand what is going to happen to UK... Are you aware of the clearing house fiasco ? Ill link a few articles to read, use outline.com to open ft paywals https://www.ft.com/content/045fc67a-db9f-11e8-9f04-38d397e6661c...
  12. Stockolio

    Hedge funds Wipe out - exaggeration?

    I never thought I would ever say this but Kramer is right... Easy making returns with QE at your back, you could pick anything and go up with it, in bear markets, it can take 20-30 hours to produce a thesis just for one play cause you have to be much sharper... In any circumstances you have to...
  13. Stockolio

    Could the next recession begin with the Brexit situation ?

    I know Britain will be fine, in the end just print more money right, couple of keyboard strokes and voila, billions in QE! I mean as a Trader, I am looking to stretch it out before I blast PUTs. Logically once the liquidity providers smell something too strong, the premiums on buying puts will...
  14. Stockolio

    Could the next recession begin with the Brexit situation ?

    UK is as deep in the subprime MBS as the states was in 06-07, I am a freak when it comes to RMBS data, I even read the details and fine-prints of RMBS/CMBS sometimes, trust me on this... UK is in some serious trouble, there 90 + days delinquency are not even close to healthy levels... Scotland...
  15. Stockolio

    London post-brexit as a financial center

    Do you think there is a sabotage happening in May's Party ? What is your opinion on the deal being approved before Jan 21st ?
  16. Stockolio

    Anyone heard of Uncovered Options Trading System?

    James The Tool Cordier sold deep Out of Money calls... On Margin! LOL His investors must be wiping there asses with his book
  17. Stockolio

    Could the next recession begin with the Brexit situation ?

    From my understanding, a hard or no deal brexit is a possibility at this point, one third of her own party oppose it, along with the opposition and rest of EU leaders. It seems the power to be want to punish UK or start the recession through this, and have a 2nd referendum and force no exit vote...
  18. Stockolio

    Could the next recession begin with the Brexit situation ?

    I have been doing some reading and wondering what the actual situation would be like if a no deal Brexit actually happens ? UK is knee deep in ARMs, and along with Australia do not have confident looking RMBS delinquency results. When there economy starts to slip just a bit, they have a lehman...
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