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Ah, but you forget to mention that you only have a 10% chance of hitting that first 6, so on average it would cost you $10 (10 attempts) before you even get the chance to place that second bet, in effect, costing you $11 for fair value of $11.

If you consider everything marked-to-market, why would trade: (close) 150 SEP SPX 1140/1155 Put Spread @ $0.25 for: (open) 150 SEP SPX 1185/1200 Put Spread @ $0.15 I only see possible scenarios: - Free up margin, but that's not the case here. Though even if the first position...

There is a way to use cycles profitably but it's not what people typically envision when they hear "cycles". If you can determine the type of market movement you're in (e.g. sideways, trending, range bound, "chop" -- there are many nuances) you can then use cycle analysis to buy low bounces...

Long put spread. This is a directional bet, of course, and won't cost as much as naked put.

But unlike the WWW or Krispy Kreme, Party makes money hand over fist and there is no end in site.

I'd add to that list from my own system: Up (trending) Up (chop) Sideways (no volatility) Sideways (chop) Down (trending) Down (chop) Each mode of market behavior requires different trading strategies. The trick is to detect which mode you're in and when the mode has shifted. If...

The tradeoff between content and signal-to-noise ratio for an ad revenue site is always to lean towards more noise. Multiple aliases exist on almost all message board and are often passively encouraged. If some twit like KingFish wants to create a ton of aliases and answer this own posts, it...

Interesting theories and tools, but over-optimized, including broker-assisted systems. Read his Rocket Science book and see if you can find the optimized component in each tool he introduces.

In that case, you should trade the funds. Take every trend following fund and only buy in when they are at 35% or worse drawdown. Due theory in action...

The fundamentals vs. quant analysis doesn't apply in this case, because the quants can look at 100% empirical data, whereas the fundamentals game at the level we're talking about here is only played by the elite few. In other words, the large hedge funds have access to people and data in their...

http://www.crushingonlinepoker.com/ I'm not into the artwork there, but the info is free and the data presented matches up with poker reality.

I make over $200/hr multi-tabling 15-30, not to mention over $2k/month in rake rebate. PM me if you want to earn rake rebate. I've tutored two other players who built $100 bankroll to $20k twice starting at 1/2 and now playing 15/30.

The problem with these types of analysis in the URL you posted - gross generalities notwithstanding - is that they only compare debts vs. assets which alone do not tell you anything about the true value of the company (in this case the US) without looking at revenue. Only by looking at...

Always asking "why" is essential to insure that your method is working for the right (or "rational") reasons. For example, a successful trader may be following fibs or astrology to enter the market, using trailing stops to let his profits ride and cutting his losses short. Well, as it...

If you are daytrading you will want an MA that can generate a signal much faster than what SMA or EMA will give you. You can look at the some of the adaptive MA's but eventually you will settle on something based on DSP. You not only want to be able to filter out more noise, but also maintain...

Even if traders wanted to answer your post by posting some successful trading statements, it still tells you nothing. You don't know the sample size. You don't know the trading style. Etc. etc. You are wondering if day trading can be a worthwhile endeavor for you. You are asking the wrong...

You can most definitely daytrade ES/NQ successfully with less than $25k. It will take you awhile to build up enough size to live off the trading profits, but you can definitely trade successfully with an ever growing account size with as little as $5-10k depending on risk characteristics of...

pattay, Sounds like you are searching for a method that works, not so much a support group. There are many Yahoo groups and other boards where you can post charts and trades and talk psychology all you want. But my suggestion is to find one, just one, method that yields a positive...

Wealth-Lab. Costs less, can do more.

To add-on to that (my estimates): 1. 95% of users on ET don't even average one trade per day. Lots of wannabe's who may never get2be. 2. of the remaining 5%, 80% are not profitable. Lots of pretenders. I figure "80%" instead of higher # to make allowances for those who are "break...