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  1. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    The $10 strike TSLA BSM Calls are $2,040 ITM. As a mirror image with equal payout, your "invention" would allow for the $10 strike TSLA "FairPuts" to also be $2,040 ITM. There's one glaring problem: For your $10 strike TSLA "FairPuts" to expire $2,040 ITM (in-the-money) just like the regular...
  2. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    A much better idea would have been to put a limit/cap on the Calls so their max profit can't exceed the max profit on the Puts. So a $10 TSLA Call could be worth $10 maximum at expiration, just like a $10 TSLA Put could only be worth a maximum of $10 at expiration. If you have defined...
  3. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    So my Tesla $10 strike regular BSM Puts only have $10 MaxLoss, but your TSLA $10 strike "FairPuts" have unlimited MaxLoss. Like someone could lose a million dollars on a short 1 lot $10 strike "FairPut". The margin requirement difference between the 2 would be astronomical. Conversely, your...
  4. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    "Long FairPUT: LZ(const): Sx >= K(100.000000;z=0.000000) POZ(var): Sx < K(100.000000;z=0.000000) PZ(var): Sx < K-P(88.076462;z=-0.423216) LZ_MaxLoss=P(11.923538) PZ_MaxProfit=Sup-K-P(ie. unlimited) Credit=-11.923538 Payout=0.000000 Profit=-11.923538(-100.00%) (z=0.743812 zUp=0.743812...
  5. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    @thecoder Your puts are nothing new. They trade already in crude oil and interest rate options on futures. You're copywriting something that already exists and is used in practice by thousands of traders. What you clearly don't understand is those products are inherently different than stocks...
  6. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    Hey Einstein, the most any ITM 90 strike "FairPut", "DumbPut", or regular vanilla put (what most of us prefer to trade), could be worth at expiration with spot at 80, is 10.00. At an expiring price of 11.25 you are synthetically valuing worthless OTM 90 calls at 1.25 (put call parity). Your ITM...
  7. VolSkewTrader

    Deltas

    Eliminate unwanted delta. Isolate the other 1st and 2nd order greeks to simplify your risk.
  8. VolSkewTrader

    The Best Trading Proverbs

    Good looking women have it so easy. They have all the power. I keep telling both my kids marry for the money, not for the looks. You'll always be much happier in the end with the money.
  9. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    You shouldn't be promoting and recommending to unsuspecting traders to use a deeply flawed model that would lose them a lot of money. I'm going to ask Baron to remove you from this forum permanenty. You also need to be careful about uploading incorrect reinterpretations of the BSM on GitHub...
  10. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    You are by far the biggest retard I've run into on ET...and that's an understatement.
  11. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    The normaldist put computations only work if stock prices can go negative.
  12. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    This is your methodology which you stated earlier: "lognormal is used for pricing the options (ie. calculating the premium), and normaldist is used for FairPUT computations. This is the correct method, as I first tried hard with the lognormal but failed b/c as soon as you add risk-free-rate...
  13. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    Normaldist to price your "Fair Puts" assumes negative stock prices, which is impossible.
  14. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    Lognormal distribution: The Black-Scholes-Merton model assumes that stock prices follow a lognormal distribution based on the principle that asset prices cannot take a negative value; they are bounded by zero.
  15. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    Here do some research before you try rewriting options theory: https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/102014/lognormal-and-normal-distribution.asp Taken from article: "Normal distribution cannot be used to model stock prices because it has a negative side, and stock prices cannot fall...
  16. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    Read my lips: You are modeling negative stock prices if you use "normaldist for FairPUT computations." Result: Your "Fair Puts" are going to be grossly overpriced with excessively high deltas.
  17. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    First of all, your "FairPut" idea already exists. Traders already use the normal price distribution to price options for instruments that have unlimited downside as well as unlimited upside. Crude oil prices and futures spreads can go negative, and interest rate products (Treasuries, Bund,etc)...
  18. VolSkewTrader

    New invention for the derivatives market - How to profit of it?

    "DumbPut" trading at a huge premium over "Fair Put".
  19. VolSkewTrader

    Which way? Gold.

    IF SLR gets back below $1.00 I'll have to back up the truck and load up on it. They just made a ridiculous amount of money for only being a $2+ Billion company.
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