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Jason has looked at SPX data since 1997, and unfortunately the relationship didn't hold up. Any time the SPX p/c ratio was 3 or higher, the S&P was lower the next day 43% of the time, with an avg return of 0.0%. Any time after a p/c ratio of 0.9 or below, the S&P was higher 54% of the time...

Jason Goepfert at Sentimentrader.com has done extensive work on this and has an indicator that tracks it. Best, Mike

Just to clarify my point. This is completely illogical. It does not and cannot hurt the oil companies for a day. The gas is already sold. The oil was sold in the pits months and years ago, sold at drill head months and weeks ago, sold at the refinery weeks ago, sold to the gas station days...

Is it worth it? No, not to me.

I always get a kick out of this whenever it comes around. Is there nothing illogical about this to anyone? If you dont fill up today, but still drive, guess what, you still will have to put gas in your fucking tank on another day. I love it when people bitch about the cost of fuel. Look...

This again illustrates may initial premise: Hard core left wing thinking and liberalism is really about self hatred.

Funny, I thought the title of this thread was about Moore, not Mel Gibson. As usual, after about 8 posts, the average Elite Trader thread starts to breakdown into pure crap.

Enjoy and forward at will. http://www.mooreexposed.com/

actually, would generate no or little red ink if all he was doing was taking the interest off of 300 mil and buying options with it. Folks, its not like they have a 15k etrade account and they go and use 100% of it buying the near month SPX 350 puts. What he is doing is actually a very...

I have read virtually everything Taleb has written, even his academic publications. While he has mentioned that his fund can never blow up but can only bleed to death, I think he is being a little self deprecating. I may be wrong, but I seem to recall that he does in fact keep most of the...

The specialist.

It is defintely not an interest free loan. If you do a lot of marging trading, you will be shocked to see how much interest paid at the end of year when you read your statements.

It is a straight up loan secured by the value of the securities. Much the same as the 5-20% you put down for your house. You are, in effect, leveraged up to buy the house, with difference secured by the value of the house. The Fed can change margin requirments as they see fit. One of the...

That letter sounds like it was written by a high school freshman or a nun who has just read Karl Marx for the first time. Moore is the worst kind of second hander: A man who takes the money from his sponsers and then cries about it. Here is the truth about the matter. This is not...

Sorry to bring this up on your classified, but this is as good as place to as any, I guess. I've been reading his commentary on Trading Markets for three years and I can honestly say I have no idea what he is ever talking about. Does anyone else have this problem?

Sorry, just reread the title of this thread. My experience during the reports was with ZN and ZF, not ZB. I would imaging ZB would be even crazier. Mike

Since he asked about stops during volatile times, I will relate my experience. On many economic reports I will try to bracket the trading range with buy stops above and sell stops below to enter the market on the report in the direction of the initial move. This works somewhat well at...

Its all about The 2LiveCrew.

Everyone who trades has had these experiences.