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Agreed. Numerous paths lead to success, but we must each find our own.

As you noted, there is a subtle -- but important -- difference between prediction and probability. Understanding this difference helps to develop systems and follow one's rules.

I was a student without funds and offer my comments from that perspective. The thread began as commentary on the plight of middle class America. I do not see access to reasonably-priced college education as a significant factor in that regard.

The post i responded to quoted a $300k price tag for college education tuition. My point was there is no need to spend anywhere near that much. Furthermore, with the benefit of scholarships, my son's first year at University of Washington cost about $2k for tuition; books added about $1k to...

Why pay $300k for tuition? University of Washington is ranked as one of the top 20 universities in the world; it's tuition is only $6k a year for in-state residents. 17 of the top 20 universities in the world are in the U.S., several of which are public. There is no need to spend...

More likely than not, Delta's stock certificates eventually will be cancelled, an action that would reduce their price to $0.

Exactly. Coincidentally, just the other day i was shooting at some food, and up from the ground came a bubblin' crude.

Timeframe?

Well said.

I agree. Evaluating systems against a couple thousand symbols over varying periods requires more oomph than I've been able to extract from spreadsheets.

The following link is for an old thread, but it might have some useful information for you: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=34007

Over the past 2 1/2 years, the S&P 500 is up ~45%, the NASDAQ 100 up ~65% and the Russell 2000 up ~85%. Those run-ups probably reflect a cyclical bull market in a secular bear market, but they're not too shabby.

Actually, no, I am not arguing that; I agree with your conclusions. My reference point was 10%, not 3%, so my review was not the same as yours. I am not surprised to learn, however, that uber-tight ranges occurred only about 1% of the time during the period you reviewed. It has been a...

U.S. equities were in a pretty tight band from 1976 to 1979. There were also a few instances in the 1950's and 1960's when the market moved very little over several months as it stair-stepped higher. As I recall, periods of little movement (10% or less based on monthly prices) in U.S...

I use ZoneAlarm and a router, a combination that has worked fine for us during the past couple years

We knew you caught a fish, but wanted to learn about the bait you used.

Why?

So, if a stock rises on perceived bad news, what does that tell us?

It appears the Fed was a seller today; their action reduced the money supply.