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  1. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    M4-1 I will share text with FV, but all past learning has to go to storage room as I am telling him/her, too much clutter confuse the view.
  2. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Like my primary school teacher used to say: "school should teach pupils to learn, to be curious about the world and passionate to learn about it" this remained with me all my life. I was never much of diligent student, I would be very good in subjects that interested me and learn just enough on...
  3. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    doubling down on losers... been there, done that... not anymore, please, I already left enough of my money on the table to do that. I have gone through all the usual stages of the trader life: lose some money, make a lot of money, lose more money, be too scared to trade, slowly getting back on...
  4. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    oh I don't doubt that, of course there is a reason behind what happens, most of the times, it is just that I have followed a different path from 99% of traders as I have not had the usual education in trading: Technical analysis, trying all the instruments thinking that finding the "one" was the...
  5. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    usually, I do that, but often times I am too shy and miss the good trade:banghead::banghead::banghead: like today on NZD.USD... I missed the up and the down, but what you know, there is always tomorrow:D
  6. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Sorry, all of this is way too complicated for my taste, also non having a standard training in trading (never even bothered to learn about options, never traded them never will) there is too much I don't know and I do not much care to know. I just look at the chart and trade what I see:D
  7. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    "if + 60,000 is change in OI and 1,400,000 are traded..then surely that means that 1,340,000 contracts were opened and closed in the same day" That's not exactly right, is it? the only information we get is that today there are +60K contract still open at the end of the day compared to...
  8. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    the estimate is qualitative and not quantitative, based on volatility on the day. There were good day traded on the 30/11 not so much the other days
  9. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    30/11 - 70% day trades 01/12 - 40% day trades 02/12 - 40% day trades 03/12 - 40% day trades 04/12 - 40% day trades
  10. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Which would have been a good choice today:D
  11. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    as for the % I wouldn't know where to start so I cannot answer.
  12. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    magic number is 2, the trade is a closing trade
  13. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    well, after gaining a bit more ESSENTIAL information, like looking at the chart on Daily TF I have to reconsider my previous statement. price has been trending up on a daily for quite some time and I have no reason to think why it should not keep doing that. I would see if it goes down a bit...
  14. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    price will likely range for a bit on 30m TF, I would expect to go short eventually, might be wrong, of course:D
  15. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    look at the balance between price fluctuations and you will see the groove, track, path...
  16. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    track, path, groove... same story
  17. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    same same
  18. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    It is present in all TFs. but... you need to see the path and the deviation from it otherwise it may not be a good trade.
  19. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    And... there is no need to enter at the high point, just follow the retreat
  20. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    of course they are easier to see in hindsight, but... when price move out of its path and then stops/retreat it is a good sign...
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