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The thing is that there is no holy grail provided in this thread, but, if not taken too seriously and too deep, this thread provide a path to a different way to approach trading from the mainstream (Technical and fundamental analysis) way that we all know is a bag of bullshit. This in itself is...

Trade with the trend, but what is a trend, what is the TF of it and how can it be recognized? that's the question you need to give an answer to before you can effectively trade the trend:D

I will add that the big fish will only have to face one issue that the retail trader will not: liquidity so for all of the above to work it will have to stimulate it...

Very interesting post, I will give my 2cents: It took me 15 YEARS to learn what's 'obvious'. When I did, I near threw up. On that day, I realized the true depth of OP's statement: "It is a cruel and callous world" (page 11). Below, I provide you (the reader) with information and ask you...

infinite...

Risk management comes from understanding how price moves, same as good entry versus bad entry. This is the easy part that comes with some experience and observation, than comes the hard part: killing the muppet that exist in all of us:D

I'll admit, I often behave like a muppet even if the better part of me knows better:banghead: I think the obvious all comes down to having enough experience to see how an instrument should be traded and keep enough CONTROL on one own actions to actually trade it that way instead of following the...

I really, really like your post! I think it clearly states an Obvious truth that is so, so obvious but that also take so, so long to internalize. I remember RN saying something like: "it does not matter what you think, only how" in this sentence there is so much value that it takes years to...

The only sign that I can see is the October monthly bar rejecting the high, that is often a signal for reversal...

Pelt, what happens once price exit the range? wouldn't that be the best space to trade?:D

Exactly, the above is the key to my troubles, I can have up to 100% win rate (without risking much) for several days in a row and then, I get bored, impatient, overconfident, and for a moment I stop doing what I know is right and get the one bad trade and I stare at the screen while that bad...

so another couple of years before the big revelation?:D:D:D

and, by the way, it is not really prediction, that would be too fancy a thing, it is more like integration and timing...

hmm, well, for what I see, my obvious is there with any instrument I have checked, of course, sometimes you have surprises for which you need to be prepared, but otherwise Forex is not that different from other instruments.:D

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Hmmm, I rather trade within the 1h TF, better if 4h and 1H are in line, and, for that matter, if the price is in the right place for the best one of the daily sides, that is the best entry point for me, provided the day is right:D But 5m and 15m trade is fine as well when the time is right;)...

I would just put in a guess... MTF and timing?:D

Well, I don't know or care who M3 is, he/she sometimes comes across a bit strong on some things (like the MES), sometimes is quite hard to follow (especially when he/she posts charts without any context) but I at least agree on one point: Times, Time, and Timing is very important if often...

1% a month is child play, it is so basically attainable that does not even merit an answer. 1% a day, well, then, that's a bit harder, still attainable but harder. The way is the same, get into a move on higher TF, wait for pullback enter and capture the bit of the move that you need for your...

It will (likely) get down to about 4250 this week, so profit for M3. Of course you are right, he can withstand the temporary draw down and the potential loss. But he "knows" something that is obvious but not so obvious, hence the (apparently) risky trade