Search results

What does your edge consist of? Looks like a set of randomly opened trades :D

Probability density of stock returns is skewed to right (positive kurtosis). I think stock market growth expectations determine that. As far as I know it is not observed in currency pair returns because there are no such expectations. Does it mean that Fx trading is more random?

68%, also they are not required to be in the status "looking for a job" to get benefits, because of constraints to look for a job from pandemic lockdowns. Should be positive for wage growth for some time because this move takes off some supply pressure on the labor market.

Most probably because bigger capital is at stake and target returns are usually decreased. Making 10% on $100K and $100M involves taking different level of risk.

Yes it is possible but two prerequisites are low volatility and trend. Central bank easing policies showed pretty much efficiency in creating such periods.

For diversification you have to find uncorrelated assets, it's not easy to do that in times of downturn because traditional correlations break. You can instead bet on something like pro cyclical vs. cyclical, value vs. growth (rotation bet actually) but I would rely on statistical relationships...

Yes, it is swap.

Is there a way to understand why were you mistaken in some particular trade? I doubt that it is possible. I think it's fair to note that some of your winning trades could happen due to pure luck, should we investigate the underlying reason of success as well? But how do we do that? In my view...

It's a bit different in FX trading, after you open a position there are four variables that are important to you: , equity, used margin (constant), free margin and margin level. Margin (used) is position size divided by leverage, Equity is Balance - Floating P/L (profit/loss - swaps - spreads...

What do you mean by recession? Two quarters of negative growth? I assume you are interested in particular implications of these event, not the event itself. We will likely to see doubled digit decline in US GDP for the second quarter and yet SPX is shy of historical highs. So which particular...

Have you tried babypips pip school or YouTube free webinars? They offer good introduction, although its really the very basics.

Yup pretty much self-fulfilling prophecy. The choice of boomers maybe? If you want protection from inflation you can buy TIPS.

Long VIX?

Go and see broker demo contests, for example from Hotforex https://www.hotforex.com/sv/en/contest/demo-contest.html. Check the rankings. Their top 10 winners generate stably >10000% monthly. The key is... instant execution. A lot of winning strategies especially based on momentum are excellent...

Good luck with your demo but live account is completely different (in many aspects). I was surprised to see how little I understand my own decision-making process when I face uncertainty and real money is at stake :)

Negative oil futures was purely a technical issue, many traders assumed that they will always be able to avoid delivery by selling contract to someone else. How can this issue emerge with fx futures (which delivery involves simply a change of bank deposits one to another)?