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  1. S

    Is the larger time frame overrated?

    All timeframes are good is you know what to do.
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    Historical probablility based exits ?

    Maybe throwing around a few good ideas would be better. The question whether systems with fixed target/stop are better or worse then systems with adaptive target/stop is not settled.
  3. S

    EasyLanguage?

    http://www.multicharts.com/easylanguage/
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    TradeStation Stalks Client Accounts

    Too hard to use observation to find price patterns because then you have to determine the probability of success and do other tests and by the time you are done the opportunity may be gone. There are some tools that automate this. For price patterns this is a good tool I'm experimenting with at...
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    Technical Analysis Logical Flaws

    TA is a philosophy. You must reduce it to practice. The tool for that is math. Philosophers are usually intelligent but never wealthy. RSI at 85 does not necessarily imply a top. If some guru told you that you must ask your money back. Central banks are just another participant. The...
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    Combining Tape Reading with Charts

    They use portfolio backtests to increase the trade sample size. This is also one of their cross-validation methods. It is a very interesting concept that I'm studying. Price patterns do not generate many historical trades but you can test them across many markets more easily than chart...
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    Mechanical versus discretionary swing trading

    Someone has to lose for someone else to profit so make sure you are not in the first group. Good luck to you.
  8. S

    What is economics?

    Missing another option: pure ideology and politica
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    Mechanical versus discretionary swing trading

    This is too simplistic of a method to result in consistent profits. A more advanced approach is testing the conditions to find out whether they are causal. The step after that is testing inferred causal relations for significance. The step after that is testing the significance of the...
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    How to place an order that will excecute say at 5% correction from peak

    You never know the all-time high. Only the period high. This cannot be done. You must specify the look back period.
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    Should I stop day trading?

    It makes sense only if you do mean-reversion. If you are an intraday trend-follower you should make a lot. Just look at the chart Bob111 posted. It refutes your position. The Fed is responsible for price stability and volatility is risk. The Fed is not responsible for trader losses neither...
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    Why support becomes resistance

    I do not take any ruled for granted. In some cases it does and in some cases in doesn't. People remember only when it does or doesn't but not both depending on their biases.
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    71.2 % Win Rate

    It mean 2% of current bankroll risked per trade per system. if you have 20K for example and you trade two systems you can allocate 10K each and risk $200 per trade. This is the best system I try to master too. When you trade like that it is very important to know how biased is the market in...
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    What's the best for the rest?

    Matlab, R, VB+excel. You are not going to do anything so complicated to require more than that.
  15. S

    how much trades for validate a strategy

    I basically agree but if I don't understand something it don't mean it can't be done. If you hold a trade longer than a few minutes it means your entries are not even relevant and you may as well play only with your exits. Prices have little memory, maybe a few bars, then you are probably...
  16. S

    Is the Fed morally responsible for the stock market?

    FED is doing a good job said 80% of economists surveyed. The only ones who are angry about the stock rally are the permabears:)
  17. S

    Russell 2000 trailing PE over 75

    Better to look at S&P 500. Russell has many speculative stocks.
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    Trading with a Stop Loss in the Futures Market is for Losers

    If you don't use an appropriate stop you can't control your risk. If you do not control your risk you will eventually fail.
  19. S

    Difference between a hinge and a bugle pattern?

    Does anyone know what success rate these things have? Once I read a paper that argued the profitability of such patterns cannot cover expenses.
  20. S

    Being a Young, American Adult Is a Financial Nightmare

    True but if you can import all the great brains of the world why caring about local kids? This is sad.
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