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If it is just 1 major hedge fund, I would be surprised. I know several hedge funds, most of them "minor", that are down over 50% ytd.

Scalpers, shooooooooooooot,...of course there will be your 10 point rallies on the S&Ps, I am talking from a swing trading perspective, moves from 3-4 days to a few weeks. Hedge funds are gonna be selling all day. Don't get your hopes up.

Haha. Let them eat cake!

Parabolic rally? If you're talking about what happened early last week, that's wishful thinking. <i>Everyone</i> is looking to sell the rally, which means that there isn't going to be much of a rally to sell into. If you're waiting for a parabolic rally to sell, you gonna have to wait a...

Today there is going to be heavy selling in that sector. It is not too late now. I would not be short on options expiration day however for various reasons.

If you don't know the popular hedge fund names, then you obviously are not in tune with game. Let's just say that sector starts with an E. As for specific names, just look at the stocks with big volume in that sector.

Looking at the action, the hedge funds who have been playing mean reversion strategies like put selling are under a lot of pressure here. Also the quant funds are in pain right now, and leveraged. These bozo hedge funds leveraging out to crazy amounts to make their "riskfree" 1% a month are in...

I have yet to see real fear during this downturn, ok, maybe in some of the mortgage lenders and homebuilder stocks, but not in the market itself. I am talking about a 4-5% down day where it looks like the end of the world is coming. Granted, we are not back to those volatile days in 2000-2002...

Funny how some of the European and Asian indexes are going down 4-5% and the US index is going down less than 2% a day when the problems are originating from the US. The US stock investor is in denial. Today is going to be painful for the optimistic who have downplayed this credit crisis...

We saw a sea change in the market's character that we haven't seen in 5 years. Buying dips is no longer a guarantee to make money, we are in a bear market. Some people realize it, but others will only accept it when the indices are down 20%, and most of the down move has been made. So...

If you believe the inflation numbers pumped out by the government, I got a bridge located in Brooklyn to sell you. Inflation is high, bond yields are low, bond yields will go higher from here. The dollar has been devaluing for years now, it will continue for several more years. When the dust...

Historical valuations for stocks on a P/E basis. The P/E on the S&P 500 is around 17, even after all this selling the past few weeks. The historical market P/E median has been around 15. It is overvalued compared to commodities IMO. As for real estate, that is also overvalued but not by...

The account insurance up to $150 million for all accounts together is a joke, considering the assets of all the accounts together, which are probably over $10 billion, if the firm goes bust, $150 million spread out over $10 billion means you will probably get about 2 cents on the dollar of...

Did you read my above post? I was invested in 98 and the fear is different. Back then, people were really really scared and the market prices reflected, that. Do you remember Aug 31, 1998? It seemed like no one wanted to hold anything that day. That is fear, not what is happening now...

A few things: the rise in volatility and denial by hedge funds like GS's GEO, AQM, DE Shaw, Simons fund, etc... A rise in volatility after long periods of low volatility usually signal a market turn, and as you state, the monthly charts are still in an uptrend, but by the time you recognize...

People have been so conditioned to buy dips that you will have sharp bear rallies where people are gonna say we've seen the bottom, only to see lower lows. This year is gonna be a humpback market, the highs were seen just last month, we're in 2nd inning of this thing. You will get...

No, this one won't end in a big capitulation, it will be more like in '02, where people just got tired of stocks and threw in the towel not in one fell swoop, but in steps. A 5% down day will be one o f those steps.

I don't see a '98 scenario because back then the problems were not US related, they were coming from Asia and Russia, which caused the LTCM collapse. Also earlier this year in March, the problems were from China's stock market going down a bunch in one day, not a problem in the US. In '07...

Since 2002, there hasn't been one of these big market down days. It is long overdue, and if it happened this week, it would crush a ton of longs. There are so many put seller hedge funds and dip buying retail traders that it would definitely clear out the landscape of the overoptimistic...

TS seems to get a lot of stale quotes on their Level II from past experience. Also, the interest they give you on your cash balance is around 1%, compared to around 5% for IB. You are getting robbed on your money there basically.