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Well yes, if it's human trading or looking at the market. If you have a non-human, say a neural network doing the looking the question is can it learn something that it can use to predict future market activity? The nice thing about the more sophisticated of these is that they turn what...

In terms of your question "commonly available return = random " I was trying to get out of the academic and theoretical into the practical. Labels and what they mean to each person is often a hindrance to practical communication and real world results. So for purposes of my question lets...

Yes, true but the point of trading the markets is to make money at a rate above the average common available return (or random if one wants to call it that.) That goal has nothing to do with an appearance that a person calls by any particular name or what they say their intention was. If a...

I would agree, adding that any technology sufficiently advanced appears as magic or as impossibility to those who lack an understanding of it. Einstein made this point around the time traditional physicists were scoffing at his new and unproven theories. Perhaps this debate on are market...

I assume you really mean to avoid over fitting not optimization, at least as I understand the term. To me optimization means taking the basic elements of the system design and finding the best way to use them to trade a particular market in a particular time granularity. A given reversal...

I do a lot with intraday futures, but with predictive models. So my findings are from that perspective as opposed to that of a technical or indicator trader. Most indicators or simple combinations of popular indicators don't work very well, seldom getting a profit factor above 2.0...

Dude.... are you reliving the Big Lebowski movie or do you actually talk that, like wow dude, how cool? Totally retro!

Careful or I'll tell your mommy to put you to bed without supper.

It doubt this guy is old enough to get into the military. You have to be 18 to get in. He sounds like he is under 18.

Actually he is a joke. FInd Bin Laden, ha? Bush probably can't find his foot without Chaney telling him where it is>

Actually the difference between income and expense causes deficits or bounced checks in a checking account. What you tax or how tax receipts are spent is an unrelated issue.

That was a pop quiz for Reaver. Please don't give him the answers.

Who made you you doorman?

The Iraq war could not have happened without deficit spending. If made to actually pay for a war to bring democracy to countries with lots of oil, the nation would have booted Bush out of office for gross idiocy, since it's much cheaper just to buy the oil then to spend the next 100 years...

They provide the consumption that enables most economic activity to take place....ask Wal-Mart. Their business model would fail if applied to Rolex watches and designer shoes.

Do what you "have to" or "must do"...not "gotta do".

You don't have it just yet. Your last post incorrectly used a declarative in a question. Try using MS Word grammer checker.

Don't knock give aways. Bush won two elections doing it for the rich and the oil companies at the expense of the middle class.

Reaver, Actually the drop outs don't understand run on sentence structures, so logically those of us who see the probelms with your English skills would not be the drop outs. Happy to help. If you wish, feel free to send me drafts of your posts prior to public posting. I'd be...

Once again "D-" English. Is English your native language? One does not talk noise. Noise is associated with things like traffic. Cars make noise. Machines make noise. People can say things that others disagree with but unless you don't know what they mean you can't call it noise (look in...