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by the way another very simple reason is why bond prices are falling is because there is simply less demand from asia. When US was consuming a lot and widening its trade deficit the money flowing to china has been invested in Bonds. The lack of consuming is now eventually shrinking this demand...

exactly. thats the point 99% of all ET members will never understand. At a certain point when the FED and governemt continues to act this way stocks will rally despite bad data and near zero earnings and will leave them in worthless cash and bonds. This rally will outperform any rally seen...

to begin a trade war against china would be the most stupid thing US could do.

so since nobody congrats me I have to do the job :p

you will see, we go up again here. Its a long up to resistance around 4320 Dax

will be rangetrading today. I don't think we will see a clear trend.

measured against what will these currencies fall ? Its impossible that everything falls because you would then not be able to measure it. Its like in space where you can only measure a movement relative against something else. So there must always be something going up. So what is it ...

well I think at some point there will be panic buying in stocks, commodities and real estate when people try to rescue their money from Cash and Bond market. But I really don't know when. It will be not a question about which is the best asset class but which is the least worse. A lot of money...

this day was one of the few where a plan works out 100%, no modifications needed. Flat now only leaving ZB short running.

wow, that nailed it !

today I don't think ES is pumped up since its Europe that takes the lead. The way Dax trades makes me think we could see major rally today in US. But since I expect a short drop at open I covered my dax long for a nice 100p gain. Will reopen later and also take a long position in ES. good luck

we should note that at least for now the downpressure has dimished leaving some space for a bounce. I got long 4162. The US will probably head lower in the first few minutes. Currently the banks throw everything on the market they still own (that should not be that much), if that supply...

if the FED buys all the shit (like they said they would do) then long end can still go up further. ZB is now caught between the large supply coming and the possibility of FED interventions on the long end. Trading will be tough under these circumstances with large erratic moves. I am waiting...

good point. Covered all my short positions in ZB today because this low volume drop stinks.

although I agree to Schiff in most points the timing is difficult because right now the money that is destroyed per month by the crisis is larger then the printing speed of the FED. This is why we will probably not see an inflation coming so soon. And regarding the Bond Bubble: Its all about...

I have such a huge spread here in 5100 March calls like 262/268. Is that normal ? What advantage do you see in buying those calls against simply longing Fdax ?

use these words with caution since they simply don't exist in the stock market. Strongest moves always happen against common sense and market consensus. I agree the economic outlook is grimm but that does not have to mean stock prices in Dollar terms must fall.

up to now they did not more than just verbal interventions. Check the FED balance sheet, the holdings of long term Bonds is neglegible. Markets was moved by words rather than facts. http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/Current/h41.pdf Problem is that sooner or later they will have to...

• Revisions: Estimates for 2009 have come down 7.6% over the last month. [/B] and still dax has risen despite all these bad facts. We will see a switch from Bonds to stocks no matter how bad the numbers will come in. Money printing has started and inflation based rally is on its way.