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the shanghai stock market is definitely less manipulated then the US threasury market which is perhaps the most manipulated market in the world. I think there is a certain risc involved in investing in china but this is offset by chances that are offered. I have put money not only into chinese...

I believe that the media can accelerate trends significantly. If people don't know there is a recession, they probably would not behave different and continue buying cars etc. If I go out of my door at least here in Germany everything is the same as before, I cannot even see the recession if I...

this is history. Nobody will take care more than 2 minutes.

my gues is that it is around 15 billion give or take. The total left of reserves in US-Dollar should be around 150-200 Billion. Of course they will not let this drop to zero so they will let the rubel fall further until there is a natural balance. But anyway they made a good trade because they...

I have also closed my short positions in ZB for now. The main reason for closing my short is because there will be a much better entry level soon. FED is forced by the market to take action against the rising long end of the curve. They said they would buy the long end twice now and did not...

betting against you. Still buying pull backs. This would be the perfect setup to run all over the shorts but the problem is really P/C ratio which is a joke right now. So I can see your side and am carefull.

I am not very experienced in options. I have sold some puts recently in ES but I still am not satisfied with the liquidity. Somethimes there is not even a bid/ask on certain dax options. I think I am better off in futures.

brave guy !! I think you will succed for a nice pullback but this train will gain speed soon. As I wrote above my scenario medium term is now for a significant rally, another 15% from here within the next weeks. This would trap most banks who waited for a retest of the lows.

yes, complete mess today. I went red and stopped trading although right now it looks like this last drop was only a fake.

there is a simple reason. I check all bank prognoses for this year and they all had one thing in common. We would make new lows or retest the lows and then go higher. So since the majority of the banks always get it wrong I have 2 scenarios. First is we break the lows and go significantly...

wheres the problem ? FED will simply buy it all and put it in their balance sheet. Its wopping 2 trillion anyway so another trillion can't hurt. Problem is that once the FED holds a trillion long bonds who will be there on the next auction ??? Lets wait for wednesday. There is an enormous...

thanks, just covered the rest @4285 +125 There is still a slight chance this was only to get the stops above 828/830 and it just was enough for today. Finished for today so I can't give it back.

covered 1/2 at 4255 (+95)

given the fact that 828 has already been stressed significantly and all the bad news over the weekend that did not have to power to keep ES down I strongly think we will break through 828 and have a major rally today.

went long 4160

I have done close to 200.000 trades now with IB and had no problem so far. I think a lot of problems that happen during trading are customers mistakes who want to blame it on someone else. The percentage of idiots is probably even higer in trading than in real live because a lot of people...

I think only few people will buy at this moment. One of the reasons is what you said, that people don't trust the stock market so they will not change their paper money into other assets. They will change their IRA accounts from stocks to cash in the worst possible time. The reason is that we...

since my post GBL down 0.6 points

we are really getting into a critical situation now. If Dax can't make a rally today I think the floor will be taken off and we could see a severe plunge. Weak Euro in the morning also spelling trouble ahead. But lets see. One thing to consider is shorting BUND (GBL) for a medium term trade...

of course also precious metals will rise among other commodities. But there is simply the question of availability. Did you try to buy physical gold recently ? There is a wait time of 2 weeks for normal bullions here in Germany. There is no question that buying physical gold will be no option...